Showing posts with label Japan nominal wages. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Japan nominal wages. Show all posts

Friday, May 8, 2026

Japan Real Wages Increase: Updated May 11, 2026.

Japan real wages rise 1.0%, up for 3rd straight month on corporate efforts

Ideas

Its has been suggested, in other articles, that Japanese companies were making near record profits for many years but not sharing them with their employees, as again, it was suggested that, due to the 2008 financial crisis, companies were hording their cash and using to increase wages.

But now, as the Japanese government has been urging companies to increase wages many companies have complied and or offering wages to their employees. As there now is a supposed labor shortage many companies are increasing wages to make sure they can keep their current employees and or entice other employees to join their company.

Nominal wages, which look good, are not the real metric that should be considered as real wages are what is needed to measure consumer purchasing power and also disposable income which is what Japanese families are looking to see due the continued inflation situation in Japan.

That challenge will be, as always, are small and mid-size companies able to match what the large name-brand companies can give for wage increases this year. In years past or the last two years, small and mid-size companies, due to their limited profit margins, were unable to give out the same wage increases as the larger companies in Japan.

The Japanese government from time to time does use subsidies to help lessen the inflation burden on consumers, but at the same time, someone has to pay for those subsidies and it might mean the government is paying for the subsidies which means the government could be increasing even more.

And yes, consumer prices continue to increase but it seems at much slower rate, so maybe, just maybe Japan's continued inflation situations is beginning to see some light at the end of very long tunnel, but lets not get too positive about this just yet.

The Japanese yen, is both positive and a negative for the Japanese economy. For exporters its a positive, for the most part, as it allows Japanese companies to get more yen, money, for their products overseas, and the good part it they don't need to increase prices as the weak yen does that for themselves.

For the Japanese domestic economy, and importer, the weak Japanese yen is a negative it increases the price of import prices and as usual, importers and wholesalers will pass-on the increased price due to the weak yen to the next in the supply which can be final customer many times.

There might not be a significant impact at this time, and or its possible, the powers to be, don't want to cause alarm or cause too much uncertainty in the financial markets in Japan and globally.

Yes, the prolonged Middle East situation could have an affect on Japanese companies, as the world is very interconnected and what happens anywhere in the world today can easily affect companies and consumers everywhere.

And for example, even the wage increases going on now or just by the end of March, could be stalled, delayed, or scaled back as company estimates related to profit and sales could be significantly affected due to the Middle East situation.

Prices increased can happen two different ways. For example, as what has happened recently in Japan, prices increase have risen due to the increase in company raw material costs, energy costs and even labor costs due to the supposed labor shortage, and companies increasing wages to keep their employees from moving to another company, as companies will pass-on their costs to customers to keep their profit margins stable.

The other way prices increase of course is supply and demand, and supply was the preceding paragraph but prices increase too when customer demand increase significantly and companies will increase prices naturally as they see more customers like their products. 

The Bank of Japan is watching very carefully what is going on in the Middle East and if the situation changes or doesn't change and the global economy continues to be disrupted the BOJ most likely will just take a continued wait and see action. 

Of course inflation in Japan is always on the minds of the BOJ, as the BOJ board of governors seems to be split on what to do from time to time, as some are very hawkish and want to see an interest rate increase while some are very cautious or dove like and don't want to see a key rate increase at this time. So far the dove like members have been in control but can easily change over time. 

Have a nice day!

Article source:   https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260508/p2g/00m/0bu/020000c

Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Japan Real Wages in Feb. Updated April 9, 2026.

Japan's real wages rise for 2nd straight month in February with 1.9% growth

Ideas

Real wages in Japan seem to finally see some daylight after months or years being less that inflation and an increase of 1.9 percent, while not much, is a welcome increase for many Japanese households.

Japan has been hit by constant price increases as Japan is a resource-poor country and needs to import much of what it needs and is subject to the whims of global price increases. 

Wage increases, while good but not great, have also helped but companies need to do more its been suggested that many of the name-brand companies are sitting piles of cash which could be used to help with the daily lives of their employees in Japan.

Nominal wages really don't mean much as they give a false sense of an increase but in reality real wages, disposable income, and the purchasing power of Japanese consumers is what really matters in the economy and the daily lives of ordinary Japanese citizens.

If you ask the average Japanese consumer what are nominal wages and of course they probably won't know or even care as global consumers would probably say the same thing, as what really matters is the amount of disposable income they have and the purchasing they have each week and each month.

Yes, despite all of the news about nominal wages, real wages, inflation increases or decreases is good and needed by some in business and government but most consumers could care less about all the stats thrown around in the media, as what they care about is their purchasing power and again how much disposable income they have left on Friday or Saturday or at the end of the month.

While a 1.4 percent increase in consumers prices is maybe beginning to show a decreasing trend, it might still be too high for the most vulnerable in Japanese society as maybe it is still affecting the lower-income groups, the fixed income groups, and of course the single mother who has to take care of her two children and only a contract salary or wage with no real benefits.

Japan is not an isolated island country or economy as, like all countries these days, it is highly interconnected to the rest of the world and what happens in the Middle East easily affects Japan just like the situation in the Ukraine has significantly affected raw material supplies and prices from that region.

Yes, private consumption or consumer spending is estimated to be about half of Japan's gross domestic product, but in reality it might be a little less in actual spending as in recent years consumer spending in Japan just hasn't been enough to significantly help the Japanese economy grow that much as maybe it should be around 55 or even 60 percent of GDP to see any sustainable real growth each year.

The Bank of Japan or BOJ is watching very carefully what is happening in Japan and the Middle East with of course energy and oil prices as Japan has to import much if not all of its energy needs which could be factor in the BOJ's decision to increase rates or keep them where they are now.

And yes, again, the BOJ is watching the wage talk increases as it appears some or many companies have actually met the demand of their labor unions, but as usual, while the large-name brand companies are doing their part, it remains to be seen just what the small and mid-size companies are doing or what can they really do.

It is estimated that up to 70 percent of the Japanese work-force works for small and mid-size companies and not the large name-brand companies that get all the news.

Most if not all small and mid-size companies just don't have the needed resources to match what the large companies can do and such the wage increases by the smaller companies are never going to be as much as a large company wage increases.

While any wage increase is good and needed, what is really important is what does the average Japanese worker feel about their wage increase? Japanese households, Japanese consumers have to got feel good about the wage increases and they have to be able to see it in their disposable income and their purchasing power at the end of the month, and if they don't see it or feel it they are not going to spend enough to increase or help economic growth in the economy.

And of course again, using the phrase the "the least among us" what does it do for the dis-advantaged in Japanese society? Do the wage increases reach the lower-income groups, the fixed income groups, and again do the wage increases help the single mother on a limited contract able to take care of her two children with no real health or medical benefits.

Have a nice day!

© 2026 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved


Monday, March 9, 2026

Japan Real Wages in Jan. Updated March 16, 2026.

Japan real wages up 1.4% in Jan., 1st rise in 13 months, as inflation slows


Ideas

While real wages in Japan might have increased 1.4 percent its going take wages to increase more and for Japanese consumer to think, see, and feel that their purchasing power has increased enough to start spending in the economy again or enough to see any economic growth.

Prices, for the most part, have been increasing steadily ever since the pandemic or about that time, and Japanese consumers have not been able to feel good about their overall purchasing power and as such have not spent as needed in the economy to really see any economic growth, as suggested, consumer spending makes up about half of Japan's GDP.

Nominal wages are nothing more than inflation tacked on to wages to make it look like Japanese households have seen an increase while in reality they have seen a decrease in their purchasing power or in the amount of yen, money, as it has has less value in the economy.

Some might think, as its a common idea, that nominal wages are good and taken without inflation might actually be more than what is called real wages which take into account the subtraction of inflation and the real amount that consumers take home.

Unfortunately, global companies and especially global energy companies, will use any reason to increase the price and they won't wait to see what is going to happen as they want and need to protect their profit margins from any increase in costs.

It has been suggested that Japan and South Korea are two of the most vulnerable economies that are going to be affected by the Middle East conflict as they are energy-dependent countries and need to import much if not all energy commodities for their respective countries.

An increase of only 1.7 percent could be seen as being light at the end of the tunnel as maybe just maybe consumers prices are either decreasing and or beginning to stabilize and consumers could begin to see their purchasing power begin to get back to some kind of new normalcy again.

But its going to take more than one month of decreased consumer prices for consumers to see, feel, and think that things are getting back to some kind of normalcy as some might think its been this way ever since the pandemic.

Again, its going to take many more months of prices increase to be lower than the 2 percent inflation target at the BOJ has suggested as a target goal before it really does anything more significant with rate increases or even decreases.

But the key, as always is going to be labor-management wages negotiations as the BOJ is looking for companies to increase wages to the point that they think it might help Japanese households begin to feel good about their wages and begin to spend in the economy again.

But the problem is, as suggested, up to 70 percent of Japanese workers don't work for the large name-brand companies but small and mid-size companies that might not have the resources and or the profits margins to increase wages enough to keep their workers happy. The workers of course might not quit but again might not feel good about their overall purchasing due to less than expected wage increases in April 2026.

While a wage increase of 5.39 percent might be good, at least for the large companies, will the small and mid-size companies do the same or will they have to give wage increases a little less because of their profit margins can't handle the 5.39 percent increase.

The Japanese economy, society, is not just the major name-brand companies that always make the news as its been suggested that small and mid-size companies actually make up 99 percent of all companies in Japan, but as with any other economy the large companies make up most of the noise and or take most of the attention.

As usual or as normal, negotiations always start at a point where both sides agree or agree to disagree and then they work from there. Its less than a month now before the actual rate increase will be announced as again no one knows for sure just what the real percent is going to be and the real story is what are the small and mid-size companies going to do or what can they do even though might want to increase wage more but just can't do it.

labor always asks for a larger wage increase knowing full well that they might not get it but its a starting point that they hope they can get close to if not the exact amount.

Yes, real wages are the key and not nominal wage as real wages affect private consumption or consumer spending and if Japanese households, again, don't see, feel, or think their wages are enough they are not going to increase their spending in the Japanese economy and the economy is not going to grow to it full potential.

The Bank of Japan of course hopes the wage increases will be enough to put a dent in the inflation situation in Japan and hopes wage increases will be enough that Japanese households, again, begin to feel, see, and think their purchasing power has increased enough to begin to spend again in the economy.

And if that happens the BOJ might not increase the rate that much but just enough to give it some room in case it does have to decrease the rate again someday.

But the Bank of Japan is a very conservative agency and is not going to do anything if they feel the inflation target is not within reach and or if the wage increases are not enough for them to do anything that will make a significant contribution to the economy.

Have a nice day!

Monday, February 9, 2026

Japan Real Wages: Updated Feb. 13, 2025.

Japan's real wages fall 1.3% in 2025, down for 4th straight year


Ideas

The disposable income of Japanese households continues to go down as wage increases can't seem to keep up with inflation along with the increase in price increases in Japan.

It must be remembered or considered, that up to 70 percent of Japanese workers don't work for the large name-brand companies in Japan but work for the small and mid-size companies which usually don't pay the same wage increases as the large companies as their profits margins are just too thin to try and match the large company wage increases.

And as the disposable incomes keep decreasing for Japanese households that means, after bills are paid, they have less and less money to spend in the economy, which means the economy is not going to grow as most consumers just don't have the needed extra money to spend on things in the economy.

Nominal wages are wages which includes the increase in inflation added on but is deceiving, as it looks good and looks like a consumer has more income but in reality real income is what matters for consumers and households everywhere.

Again, nominal wage increases just show how much inflation as increased as wage earners can see it in their paychecks but it really doesn't do anything for the disposable incomes of consumers as in the end, due to inflation, they actually have less to spend.

Consumer price increases of 3.7 percent might be even noticeable for most consumers who usually are just too busy to notice small increases in prices and if buying at a supermarket after a busy work day or a mother with two children just trying to get in and out of the supermarket, again they might not even notice the price increases.

But ask the low-income groups or the fixed income groups if they notice a 3.7 percent or even a 3.2 percent increase in consumer prices and most likely they can see and feel the increase in prices as they have a much limited disposable income to use in the supermarkets and in the economy, if any at all.

Yes, many Japanese companies at the shunto labor-management negotiations have agreed to increase the wages of their workers, which is of course very good and very needed, but the problem again, the small and mid-size Japanese companies, which might want to do the same thing, just can't do it at the same level, due their thinner profits margins, which means again up to 70 percent of the Japanese work force is still going to effected significantly by the inflation situation in Japan.

To be fair and positive, a 5.39 percent increase in wages is just an average and there might be some that will increase wages even more than that but not to dampen the mood there are going to be some or many that just can't match 5.39 percent as they might want to do and know they need to do it but their profits margins just can't handle a 5.39 percent increase in wage costs.

It has been suggested, in past articles, that many of the large Japanese companies, after the 2008 financial crisis began to sit on large cash reserves due to the possible uncertainty of the global economy at the time, but even today, its is suggested they are still sitting on huge reserves of cash and a increase of 5.39 percent in wages really doesn't seem like that much as they are still being very conservative with their funds.

Part of the problem or challenge is many of the large Japanese companies today are publicly owned which means they are accountable to shareholders who demand and expect a certain level of profit or return in their stock investments and increasing wages beyond 5 or even 6 percent level might be too much for even the large companies if they can't meet the profit projections as that their shareholders expect from quarter or quarter or even year to year.

Yes, private consumption or consume spending might make up to 50 percent of Japan's GDP or domestic product, but if consumers in Japan have decreased disposable incomes due to the continued increase in inflation there no way way consumer spending is going to be close to the 50 percent of GPD as consumer spending might make 45 or 48 or even 49 percent at the very most, and that amount is just not going to increase the growth of the economy in Japan.

It seems, and to be fair, the BOJ is relying heavily on wage increases to help improve economic growth in Japan. And its probably a good idea but again, large companies in Japan are going to do their part but the question mark, as always, is what are the small and mid-size companies going to do or what can they really do if anything to help boost the economy or increase wages enough to boost the economy.

Prices continue to remain high in Japan for several reasons, such as Japan is a resource-poor country which means it has to import much or what is needs as as global prices, due to many factors continue to increase, Japan importers and wholesalers continue to either absorb the price increases and or pass-on the price increases to the next in the supply chain which makes ultimately the final retail customer in Japan.

The other main reason is the variance between the US key rate and the Japan key rate due to the fact that for a period after the pandemic the US central bank kept increasing its key rate to try and decrease inflation while the BOJ kept its key rate almost at zero, suggesting the Japanese economy was just too weak for a rate increase and as a result the large variance between the US rate and the Japan rate as been a significant factor in the Japanese yen being very weak, which increases import prices in Japan.

As noted real wages decreased by 0.1 percent while nominal wages increased by 2.4 percent which means inflation might have increased by 2.5 percent or more from the previous year. 

At the same time, again, it means Japanese household's disposable income or even purchasing power of consumers in Japan continues to decrease which means there is/was less spending in the Japanese economy which again means less or no economic growth for the economy.

Nominal wages might look good or feel good in the short-term but in reality real wages is what matter as it determines purchasing power and the amount of disposable income consumer or households really have too spend in the the Japanese economy.

Have a nice day!

Thursday, November 6, 2025

Japan Real Wages Decrease in Sept. Updated Nov. 7, 2025.

Japan's real wages fall 1.4% in September, down for 9th straight month


Ideas

Company pay hikes, while good, are only good if they get ahead of the persistent inflation that has continued in Japan since the pandemic.

The challenge and problem is only about 30 percent of workers in Japan work for the large name-brand companies and the other 70 percent work for small and mid-size companies that usually pay less in wage increases than the large companies, which means up to 70 percent of the Japanese workforce has less disposable income to use in the economy,

Nominal wages also includes inflation which is not a good measure and real income should be the true income measure of an economy. Real income shows the purchasing power of a consumer and how much their money they can use in an economy.

Of course nominal wages increased for the 45th consecutive month as inflation has continued to remain high for a very long time.

Yes, consumer prices were up 3.4 percent in September. That might not seem like much for some upper middle-income families, for the average middle-income family and low-income family that might be a huge increase in prices as again, their disposable income is less when prices go up and or overall inflation in the economy increases.

A minimum wage in any country or many countries is always a heated topic as there are both positives and negatives for increasing the minimum wage.

Some might say that those who have to work certain jobs should be afforded a living-wage as they might have families and children to support.

Some might say, those who work minimum wage jobs are the less educated and shouldn't be rewarded for anything more than a low wage.

And some might have to work minimum wage jobs as they can't find anything else and it not their fault as they just need job to survive and again maybe to take care of their families.

And then there are the companies who can only hire workers on a minimum wage as their profits margins can't handle anything beyond that amount.

Some of these companies might actually have a heart or conscious but still can't do anything but give workers a minimum wage as that is all they can afford to do.

The 1,121 yen minimum wage is one of the lowest among advanced economies as 1,121 only comes out to $7.32 in US dollars which is very low, as no US worker is going to work for that low amount as it might not even pay for the gas in a person's car.

Some might say Japan and the US very different but still Japanese workers who have to work and get the minimum wage deserve a real living wage to live on and or take care of their families.

But then again, many or some of the small and mid-size companies in Japan and probably most service type companies, can only afford to pay a minimum wage as again their profit margins or so thin they can't afford to even pay the  66 yen increase in the minimum wage.

No disrespect to the new Prime Minister, but every new Prime Minister always says the same thing about improving wage growth or curbing inflation or reducing the prices in the economy, but nothing really gets done or improves, and that's not to blame the Prime Minister in Japan as an economy is very complicated and no Prime Minister or even president of any country alone can't fix and economy

The BOJ is always saying they are closely watching what is happening but nothing really changes and the BOJ is tasked at this time with the challenges of the US tariff situation and then there is the continued inflation situation in Japan and the BOJ has to decide which is the most important priority among the two.

A country's central bank, more than a Prime Minister or a president, has more control over an economy and they have the tools and and strategies needed to try and improve an economy to either slow it down or spend it up by using the key interest rate to try and improve an economy.

Have a nice day!

Friday, September 26, 2025

Japan Real Wages In July: Updated Sept. 28, 2025.

Japan's real wages in July revised down, fall for 7th straight month


Ideas:

Real wages are always affected by inflation and the Japanese economy ever since the pandemic has been constrained by consistent inflation, which of course lowers the purchasing power of Japanese consumers.

Wage growth has been a challenge for the Japanese economy as, for the most part, Japan's wages are much lower than other advanced economies and has again been constrained by consistent stagflation and near zero GDP growth for a very long time.

Japan, traditionally, gives two bonuses a year, which may or may not make-up for the lower wages in Japan. But as inflation has even hit companies in Japan summer bonuses sometimes are not what Japanese workers expect which of course means less spending in the Japanese economy.

There is the possibility, that when Japanese companies increased wages in April, which is the normal fiscal start of the new year in Japan, that companies might have depleted any extra funds needed for the traditional summer bonus.

And it must be remembered that up to 70 percent of Japanese workers don't work for the name-brand large Japanese companies but work for small and mid-size companies that don't have the needed resources to match what large Japanese companies give in wage increases, which again might mean less spending in the Japanese economy.

Nominal wages are really not important as they are not adjusted for inflation which means real wages are whats important for a consumer as real wages can determine what a workers purchasing power is or how much they can actually spend in an economy.

And to be sure, consumer spending in the Japanese economy has been constrained for a long time due to consistent inflation in Japan, and consumer spending makes up about 50 percent of Japan's GDP, which is probably not high enough to really improve economic growth.

Again the nominal increase wages just indicates how much inflation has increased in Japan which means that inflation has not decreased much and has put a constraint on much of the Japanese economy and especially again consumer spending in Japan.

The Japanese consumer price index has consistently, ever since the pandemic has been higher than normal or what's good for an economy and its consumers.

As was noted in previous articles even though there were gains in real wages but due to inflation being consistently higher than wage increases they were still not enough to overcome inflation in Japan. which again means consumers in Japan were less better off as wages haven't been able to help the average Japanese consumer with any extra disposable income needed to spend in the Japanese economy.

And again, it must be remembered that only about 30 percent of the Japanese work-force works for the large name-brand companies in Japan. The other 70 percent of the work-force work for small and mid-size companies which don't have the needed resources to pay the same wage increases which means that maybe 70 percent of the Japanese work-force might not have the needed disposable income to spend in the Japanese economy to help the economy grow.

Have a nice day!

Thursday, May 22, 2025

Japan Real Wages: Updated May 22, 2025.

Japan's real wages fall 0.5% in FY 2024, down for 3rd straight year.


Ideas

To be honest, Japan is not acting like an advanced economy as it seems to lack behind many up and coming economies these days.

Japan's per capita income lags behind many advanced economies and the way that pay growth is lagging behind prices is a telling concern for the Japanese economy.

There was a time in the late 1980's where some thought Japan was going to surpass the US economy but those days seem long gone.

Nominal wages are not important as they don't tell the real story related to households and their spending power which is way behind related to price increases in Japan.

This situation has been a long time in the making but its seems the Japanese government or Japanese businesses were not interested in trying to fix or help the situation, as they were only interested in their small piece of the pie in Japan.

Some have called this the 3 decade loss of Japan which before it was called the lost decade when economic growth was less than normal or less than expected.

Nominal wages include inflation so they really are not that important as what really matters is real wages and purchasing power for an economy.

Real Wages indicate how much a Japanese household can really spend in the economy while nominal wages again include inflation which might be considered inflated wages with no real purchasing power.

Real wages need to be considered against inflation to see how much purchasing power Japanese households really have and how much disposable income they have left after paying their bills.

Unfortunately many Japanese companies were reluctant to increase wages for their workers as they were more focused on taking care of their shareholders instead of their stakeholders working in the company.

At the same time, inflation have been creeping up steadily causing many companies to have very weak profit margins and when inflation really hit they were not prepared how to handle the continued increase in raw material costs, energy costs, and especially the need to increase wages.

Yes, the problem is many companies were late in increasing wages and the 5 percent wage increases given in 2024 were too little too late as they should have been giving wages increases many years before.

At the same time it must be remembered that up to 70 percent of the Japanese workforce doesn't work for the large name-brand companies but small and midsize companies which don't have the resources that large companies have and can't pay the same wage increases.

All previous Japanese Prime Ministers have tried different strategies to improve the Japanese economy and most have failed to do what they wanted to do or the results were only short-term fixes but then the same situation returned or was worse.

Focusing on small and mid-size companies is good but can they all be helped as its going to take a lot of resources to help that many of companies and or that many Japanese households that work for small and mid-size companies in Japan.

Again this is a situation that has been known for a long time as wages in Japan have steadily been declining compared to wages in other advanced economies but know one seemed to notice or pay attention to it until long-term inflation kicked in and many Japanese households and business were significantly challenged.

This situation, has been known for a very long time as many have known that Japan was/is falling behind many other advanced economies and some have even suggested Japan should be like Switzerland and not worry too much about its place in the global economy.

But unfortunately, these days, no country is a island unto itself, and no pun intended related to Japan as an island nation, all countries and economies these days are too interconnected for Japan to isolate itself from the rest of the world.

Have a nice day!