Japan logs 1.1 trillion yen trade deficit in August.
Ideas
Japan seems to place more emphasis on its trade balance compared to the US as for the most part you almost never hear anything in the main stream US news about the US trade deficit.
The US has had trade deficit since 1976 and is not going to improve anytime soon, as part of the reason for the deficit is foreign investments in the US are much more than the US savings rate among its citizens.
However there is no doubt the Middle East situation has increased the value/price of energy ad oil from the region and its not going to get any better in the future, as it looks like now
Yes, the weak Japan yen has played havoc with most imports into Japan and as Japan is a resource-poor country it has to import much of what it needs and is subject to global price fluctuations, as seen with the price of gas and oil from the Middle East.
As a result, most if not all importers and wholesalers are passing-on their increased costs to the next in the supply chain which eventually is the final retail customer in Japan.
And of course, due the Hormuz situation the supply from that region has decreased and Japan has to look to other sources including crude oil supplies from the US which means prices could potentially be even higher.
You would think, if the Middle East is such a volatile region why aren't countries looking for alternative sources of energy, at least long before the Hormuz situation happened.
Japan is in a situation where a weak Japanese yen is good for exporters and over-seas investors but not good for importers and the overall domestic economy.
So as a result, it has to try and balance out what is best for all situations in Japan as again, the weak Japan is good for exporters and over-seas investors but not good for importers and the overall Japanese domestic economy.
But does the Bank of Japan and there Japanese government have the willingness to try and get the yen to strengthen or all they just going let it strengthen naturally without too much intervention in the markets.
Japanese car exports continue to be one of the few growth areas for the Japanese economy but now there might be a new growth area in semiconductors as it seems Japan has re-emerged as a major semiconductor player after Taiwan and South Korea.
However, at the same time, is seems like many countries or at least many high-tech companies in many countries are now producing semiconductors as the AI race is on and is not going to slow down anytime soon, even though some have suggested the AI situation needs to slow down for the good of global society.
The problem with slowing down since this AI race started which company, is any company going to put some guard rails on their AI products for the good of society as they probably think they don't want to lose out to other countries or companies as they all think they are best and need to keep their share-holders happy and profit is all that matters to most of them.
Japan seems to have a major challenge with China now, even though it's a huge economy and Japan really can't afford to just leave China but due to the up and down diplomatic tit for tat that seems to go on every now and then, there might other issues that is causing Japan's trade deficit with China as maybe Chinese products are more practical, less expensive that Japanese products and Chinese consumers choosing Chinese products over Japanese products.
Have a nice day!
Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260916/p2g/00m/0bu/016000c
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