Japan core consumer prices in Aug. up 1.7% on year, below 2% for 8th month
Ideas
Most central banks prefer to see core consumers prices below 2 percent as that is the target that banks feel is a level that is controllable, but for a long time it seems consumers prices were actually above 3 percent and its taken some time to get the consumer price index down to 2 percent or even a little lower.
Its good that the government is using subsidies to reduce the stress of Japanese households but a subsidy is still something that the government needs to pay for which means its debt will continue to increase.
Yes, it seems the BOJ is going to increase the rate to 1.25 which in itself is still relatively low compared to the rate the US has and even what South Korea has now.
Even when the the BOJ does increase its key rate doesn't mean inflation is going to go down the next day as it could take months to get it to decrease as sometimes inflation and feel sticky or even stagnant and never go down that much.
Yes, the Middle East situation is still a major challenge for all countries as every country is now affected and it might not change anytime soon.
Companies that use key raw materials from the Middle East were probably already experiencing increases in material costs and the Middle East conflict again probably prompted most companies to immediately increase the price of plastics even more before they saw any real increase in raw materials as a way to protect their shrinking profit margins.
And of course prices for food in Japan have been increasing almost since the pandemic ended which has reduced the disposable incomes of many Japanese households for many months now.
Green tea has seen a significant increase in global demand and its also, unfortunately had some not so good growing seasons which has reduced the supply which of course always increase the price of products.
Rice, ever since the so-called shortage of the summer of 2024, has seen prices become almost unbearable for most Japanese households and at times there even shortage of domestic Japanese rice, which should never have happened as rice is a major staple for most if not all Japanese households.
Again, its good that Japan used energy subsidies to reduce the stress on households in Japan but at the same time, someone has to pay for the subsidies which of course the government debt will continue to increase due to having to pay for the subsidies.
Not to put any blame on the government but wouldn't it be wiser or more economical if Japan had some kind of free-trade agreements with energy or oil producing countries so that it didn't have to rely on the volatility of global energy prices.
While its common in a market economy if demand increases for a product or service, operators or whomever are going to increase prices, but at the same time, some just increase prices too much as they get greedy and the prices sometimes are above what the market really needs or should have.
An increase of 1.9 percent might still be below the 2 percent level that the BOJ or most central banks prefer to see but its important to keep it in the correct perspective in terms of what has been happening not just in August but the months before and what is expected for the coming months.
Have a nice day!
Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260918/p2g/00m/0bu/015000c
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