Monday, August 31, 2026

Japan Minimum Wage Challenges: Updated Sept. 4, 2026.

Japan's minimum wage race heats up as businesses feel the strain

Ideas

The outflow of young people from regional areas is more than just the low minimum wages that regional areas use as its more about the lure of the large metro areas too and their vibrancy compared to the lower regional life that some young people are trying get escape from.

Even in neighboring countries like South Korea young people have been leaving regional areas for the opportunities that exist in Seoul compared to the smaller towns and rural areas of South Korea.

The challenge is, unfortunately, most or many of the rural regions have many small and mid-size companies that have very thin profits margins and can barely afford to even pay the minimum wage recommended or set by the prefecture they are in.

And they certainly can't afford to be involved in a bidding war with other companies to get workers when workers are leaving the rural areas to look for better opportunities in the major metro areas of Japan

The challenge with the minimum wage and small and mid-size companies is also a major problem in South Korea as companies just cant't pay the required minimum wage so they reduce their staff, reduce hiring, cut hours, and even try to automate to stay in business.

Supermarkets and many service type companies operate on very thin profits margins and probably have few full time workers as they most likely rely on part-timers, contact workers, and housewives and they probably pay all or most with them minimum wage as that is all they can afford to pay.

Its very unfortunate that eve in Japan, with is a supposed vibrant market economy that some or many companies in Japan, especially or mostly small businesses, are struggling to survive and there doesn't seem to be any help or any real answers for them.

Exactly, as some seem to think the real economy is all about the large name-brand Japanese companies or even the stock market or even the real estate market. But the real economy is the small and mid-size companies in Japan which make up 99 percent of all companies in Japan along with up to 70 percent of the Japanese workforce is made up of those who work for the small and mid-size companies and not the large name-brand companies in Japan.

And there, like in many advanced countries or economies today, is a large disconnect between the real economies in many countries and the so-called stock markets and large tech companies that get all the news and headlines in many countries today.

The competition to increase wages might be a good idea for those who need a real living wage to survive but unfortunately its a real killer for many small and mid-size companies in Japan and especially for those who are struggling with increased raw material costs, increased energy costs and then of course the need to keep workers as everyone knows that the labor market now favors workers and workers are looking for the best wages they can get.

And of course if workers know they can get better wages in neighboring prefectures they might head there to improve their lives while, again, the large metro areas in Japan are where many want to go to escape the limitations of the small regional areas.

It might be a slight exaggeration to say it allows them to earn a living and even at 40 hours a week that is not much with inflation in Japan and the continued high cost of living especially if a person is a single woman with children to raise.

But to be fair, for some or many it might be enough to keep them from being without an income as even a little bit its better than no income at all.

And for businesses it is a labor cost that companies have to endure if they want to stay in business, but at the same time many small companies have very thin profit margins and can't afford much more in increased costs.

Its unfortunate that so many, in Japan's market economy have to be non-regular workers, as its estimated that up to 36 percent of workers in Japan are of the non-regular type which means they probably get only minimum wage with few benefits and some of them might working women with children to support.

But at the same time, companies, because of very thin profits margins have to pay the wages they can afford even though they might want to their workers more, they just can't do it if they want to survive.

Every little but helps for the non-regular workers and even a 4.9 percent increase is better than nothing, but at the same time, is it even near being a living wage for the workers who of course live month to month or pay week to week.

As mentioned before this situation happens and happened in South Korea too has the South Korean government, over a few years or more, has tried to increase the minimum wage to help those working for service type industries and those working for small companies in South Korea, the service companies and small businesses resorted to laying off people, reducing hours or workers and even trying to innovate with self-service or robotic type situations.

Finally no prefecture wants to be seen as the one with lowest minimum wage as workers in that area will try to leave and go to either the major metro areas or those prefectures which have a high wage.

There is no easy way to solve the problem as workers need to have a living wage and not just a minimum wage that is next to nothing but at the same time many small and even mid-size companies are just as stressed as their profits margins are so thin that even an increase of 4.9 percent could potentially cause some to go out of business.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260828/p2g/00m/0bu/029000c


Friday, August 28, 2026

Japan Govt. View on Economy: Updated Sept. 2, 2026.

Japan keeps view on economy for Aug., cautions about quake, rain impact

Ideas

The powers to be in Japan seemed to always way the economy is recovering moderately maybe as a way to appease the financial markets and it's the best realistic idea that they can give.

But of course there are always natural disaster situations in Japan that seem to disrupt the economy in many ways throughout Japan too, and yes, the Middle East situation, one country or another is always going to be a concern for Japan and the global economy.

Of course the July 28 earthquake was a major setback to the Japanese economy and even worse a major setback for the residents of that region.

And again, different regions seem to always be hit some kind of natural disaster or another and the Chiba region hit with major rains is a perfect example that Japan continue to be hit with all kinds of natural disasters.

Many government always uses different phrases as a way to show something positive and not say outright anything negative as they always want to be somewhat positive or at least realistic in their assessments.

The phrase improving doesn't give any real quantitative metric but its positive and that might only the financial markets want to hear. But the use of the phrase flat, while not positive and maybe somewhat less than positive might be the best phrase instead of saying the market is stagnant or not growing.

And then there is private consumption or consumer spending that is always in the zone of picking up but never really anything more than that as consumer spending, while estimated to the up to or slight more than half of Japan's GPD doesn't seem to ever live up where it should be.

The real challenge with consumer spending or private consumption, as described it Japan is the someone keeps saying an increase in government subsidies might be the reason for less consumer spending and it might be true and maybe it should continue to be mentioned due to fact that it might be part of the reason for less spending by households or consumers in the economy.

Yes the economy might have expanded 75 straight months but it must be tempered with the idea that the expansion each month might have been less than 1 percent each month or even less than 0.5 percent each month.

Economists usually are very accurate in the assessments and even more accurate or reliable in being truthful so most likely whatever they decide, hopefully will not be watered down with ideas that just want to keep the financial markets happy or keep business happy when both groups need accurate assessments about what is really going on in Japan.

But the again, if you were to put 100 economist into room, as the saying goes, you would get a hundred different ideas or opinions about something and hopefully that won't happen as they will be able to come to some kind of consensus on what happened the last 75 months.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260827/p2g/00m/0bu/049000c

Japan July Jobless Rate: Updated Aug. 29, 2026.

Japan's July jobless rate falls to 2.4%, 1st improvement in 3 months

Ideas

The Japanese economy has one of the best unemployment rates in the world but at the same time, it has one of the highest economies with workers who work either part-time jobs and or contract jobs, which means less benefits compared to full-time large company name-brand workers.

At the same time its estimated that up to 70 percent of the Japanese workforce doesn't work for large Japanese companies but small and mid-size companies which make up, an estimated 90 percent or more of companies in Japan.

However, despite some of the supposed negatives in the Japanese economy it is a very stable economy despite the structural challenges that exist for some in the economy.

It's quite possible if given a choice these days, less people are opting for retirement due to the idea that either they need to keep working and either they just want to keep working instead of just sitting at home maybe doing nothing.

And the idea of workers involuntarily leaving their jobs as maybe as surveyed to situation but didn't find anything better out there as maybe many of the better jobs are now taken and they felt it was best just to stay where they are at for the time being.

In years past, it was rare or very unheard of for Japanese companies to dismiss workers but even in Japan now times change and whether good or not so good, many Japanese companies have adopted western style practices such as laying off workers as a way to cut expenses and make sure they meet their shareholder's quarterly expectations.

In an economy has large as Japans its not uncommon for workers to voluntarily leave their jobs for any number of reasons which might include taking time to look for another job, part-time workers changing part-time jobs and mother of children taking a leave from their job to raise their children.

Even though there might be 118 jobs for every 100 jobs doesn't mean all of the jobs being offered are the large Japanese name-brand company jobs as some might be jobs that, unfortunately some potential workers might not like such as the salary being too low, the hours being too many.

There is a supposed labor shortage in Japan now which means potential workers have a choice but even if have a choice that doesn't mean they are going to find the job that it best for them as always workers sometimes and many times, have to take the best possible choice out there and it might not be what a worker wants or needs.

Its interesting that the accommodation sector saw a drops in job openings when at the present time there are record foreign tourists coming to Japan and you would think that hotels and other places would be hiring more workers as there are more tourists now entering Japan.

At the same time its possible that the wholesale and retail sectors are having challenges with their profits margins and costs and they just don't have the extra funds needed to hire any more workers even though they might need workers.

With the other sectors it's possible that their profits margins are somewhat stable which means they have room to not only advertise for new workers but maybe even, due to the labor shortage, offer better wages or salaries to lure more workers to their companies.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260828/p2g/00m/0bu/020000c

Friday, August 21, 2026

Japan July Core Consumer Inflation. Updated Aug. 26, 2026.

  

Japan's July core consumer inflation rises 1.8%, up for 2nd month

Ideas

Japan's core consumer prices have continued to increase ever since the end of the pandemic and it seems like they are not coming down anytime soon.

Globally, it seems to be a problem for most if not all countries and consumer prices just keep increasing and again it doesn't seem like its going to end anytime soon, and high prices may now be the new normal for Japan and the global economy.

And yes, the BOJ might take action in September, as suggested by some due the increase in prices of many things including what is happiness with AI.

At 1.6 percent for the consumer price index it means that inflation in Japan is maybe not increasing but at least remaining somewhat stable for the past seven months.

At the same time, even at 1.6 percent it might still be a little too high for those who work part time, or contract work, or even those on fixed incomes in Japan.

Many countries prefer to keep the inflation level at 2 percent or less as it seems to be a manageable percent for most central banks globally.

Of course the challenge with plastic materials is going to be major problem for many companies in Japan especially food and supermarkets.

Even with an increase of 3 percent for the price of food some households in Japan might still feel the price increases while those in maybe the middle income or higher groups might not even notice the increase, as it might not be dent their food budgets.

But hamburger prices, while usually not a main food product in Japan might have seen supply chains disruptions and the reason for the increase in prices along with maybe supply challenges.

Yes, the shortage of plastic materials meaning any plastic that is used for many things might have been significantly challenged with shortage and or course supply chain disruptions in the Middle East.

It seems semiconductors, now days, is used is most electronic products and the increase in demand for AI products related to semiconductors, over the past year or so has significantly increased the price of tables and notebook computers.

And no doubt the Middle East situation, whether direct or not has had an affect on a ll energy commodities and energy companies, as usual are quick to increase prices even if their commodity products are not related to the Middle East situation.

Electricity and gas, whether used by households or companies can easily turn into a major monthly expense or at least an expense that can be controlled somewhat but not completely.

Of course, as needed and very important energy subsidies can help the average household and especially those who do need to use a car in the major metro areas but especially in the rural areas where people have to drive a lot to get from one point to another.

Government, state, and local subsidies are very much needed in Japan to defer the increased costs of the volatile global energy situation, but its sometimes debated as to how much should governments intervene or provide subsidies and how much does it disrupt normal market operations in an economy.

In economics subsidies are always being debated about the positives and negatives of them as there are good and not so good ideas related to subsidies, as they tend to help households and consumers but at the same time drive up the government debt which as of now Japan's debt to GDP is significantly higher than it should be.

Every so often statistical agencies will change the base year as what was evaluated years ago might not be relevant for today so the reason for agencies moving the base year from 2020 to 2025 as even a six year difference can mean a significant different in consumer spending and and the products bought over time.

Finally, even a 1.9 percent in the core-core CPI can have a major impact on some groups in Japan such as the fixed income groups, the part time worker groups, the contract worker groups and especially the single mom who has to take care of her children on a limited income.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260821/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c


Thursday, August 20, 2026

Japan Convenience Store Sales: Updated Aug. 21, 2026.

Japan convenience store sales up 0.7% on promotional efforts in July

Ideas

Japanese convenience stores or conbinis as they are called in Japan are an out of this world experience as they are not like convenience stores in any other country.

While they are not like real dollar stores or even like Daiso, which is a popular 100 yen store in Japan, they carry a lot of products and not to mention most fresh food and you can almost exist exclusively on food from a Japanese convenience store everyday, if you are on a reduced budget.

The Japanese convenience, for the most part, have been created to fill the need of the busy metro office worker in Japan as most of the convenience stores are in the large metro areas in Japan.

And they have more than just fresh food and snacks but also fax services, some bank services, ATM services and so on for the busy office worker. And you can get your Amazon or even Rakuten online order shipped to a nearby convenience store, pick it up at the store, and then catch the train back to your home too.

It's been noted in other articles that most of the part-time workers are now foreign students and not Japanese students as for some reason Japanese students don't want to work at a convenience store as maybe the pay is either too low or the hours are not good for them or they just don't want to do what is needed as a part time convenience store worker.

Whenever I visit Japan, mostly in Yokohama and go to a convenience store, you can see the name tags of the part time workers which is written in the katakana script used is mostly used for foreign words in Japan.

What should be admired about Japan is its business culture even though there is a lot competition among the seven major convenience store operators, it doesn't seem to be like the the competition in the US as it seems there is a layer of cooperation among the seven convenience store operators like there is among Japanese car makers and Japanese airline companies as its more of a shared culture of we are all in this together even though we are competitors.

Once again, it seems, at least in the major metro areas such as Osaka, Kyoto, Nagoya, and the Tokyo metro area, that there is convenience stores on almost every corner to meet the needs of the busy metro company workers.

For many of these convenience stores they almost have 24 hour re-stocking of some products as its all computerized now and when a product begins to run low they re-stock the products quickly and even though some fresh food products might be re-stocked every hour they are re-stocked fast enough for at least the main rush hour worker times of in the morning, at lunch, and in the evening too.

And yes, due to the inflation challenge in Japan now, its quite possible that office workers in Japan are not visiting a convenience store as much as before as they too have cut-back on how many times they might visit a convenience in a day or even a week now.

All told visiting a Japanese convenience store might not be like a visit to a 7 wonders of the world experience but its worth visiting to see just what goes on in a Japanese conbini and see all the fresh food and all the daily products they have available and not to mention the ice coffee machines which of course is much cheaper than a Starbucks in Japan and you can get  hot coffee or ice coffee for around 100 yen or maybe 150 yen at the most.

Have a nice nice day!

Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260820/p2g/00m/0bu/033000c

Japan Current Account: Updated Aug. 27, 2026.

Japan logs 635 bil. yen trade deficit in July, weak yen swells oil imports

Ideas

Japan is a resource-poor country which means it has to import much if not all it needs and as a result is subject to global price fluctuations and then add in the weak Japanese yen, which increases the price of imports which actually distorts the volume difference between exports and imports.

It seems as if Japan has fee free trade agreements that actually help the economy when global prices are fluctuating too much and again Japan has to import much of what it needs which its subject to what is happening globally maybe more than any other economy globally.

Japan and the US, for many reasons, even though they are supposed trade partners and allies have never really had a bilateral free trade agreement, even though they made some mini agreements but again not a real comprehensive type agreement.

As a result oil shipments from the US, due to shipping and logistical supply chain situations, and of course the weak Japanese yen, have increased the price of energy and oil from the US recently.

It remains to be seen, after adding in shipping, supply chain costs and other costs, whether getting oil from the US is worth or good for the short-term due to the Middle East situation.

Yes, Japan might need to continue to get energy and oil from the US but is the cost worth it compared to the cost to ship it from the Middle East now and in the future.

However, related to security issues it might just be worth the cost to get the energy and oil it needs from the US and avoid, if possible. the Middle East all together.

Most likely the value of shipments of semiconductors, globally, due the high demand related to the AI explosion is going to continue on from some time until the demand settles down, if it ever will?

And because semiconductors are now used in all or most electronic products all of those products are now going to see prices increases, globally, and not just in Japan.

It should be remembered or considered there is import value, the price of imports and the volume of imports which both are of course very different but it seems the value of cost of imports might be the real challenge for the Japanese economy, as most likely the volume of imports probably hasn't changed that much.

The US tariff situation has been reduced to 15 percent which means most likely Japanese car companies might be absorbing the tariffs due to the fact that the US is one of Japan's largest car export countries and they can afford to absorb the tariff costs and still earn substantial profits for their shareholders.

And it seems that maybe just maybe exports to China have begun to improve as it was a little down there for a while to the usual diplomatic on again off again issues.

Yes, it seems, again most likely due to the weak Japanese yen, that an increase in value of the imports from the US to Japan has decreased the current account surplus with the US.

It seems, ever since the pandemic or end of the pandemic China's economy has been in a challenging situation and trade with China, while a major consumer and manufacturing economy, has not been at its best recently.

But its good that Japan continues trade with China, as the famous quote, most likely from the book "The Art of War," keep your friends close but keep your enemies closer, which might a good idea for Japan to continue to trade with China despite the current on gain off again, diplomatic challenges at hand.

And of course, as expected both the US and China continue to be important trade partners even though they might not see eye to eye on everything these days and trade is beneficial for both countries and for the consumers of both countries.

Have a nice day!


Article source:   https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260820/p2g/00m/0bu/010000c

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Foreign Visitors to Japan: Updated Aug. 20, 2026

Foreign visitors to Japan hit 3.44 mil. in July, new record for month.

Ideas

By now after years of seeing significant increases in foreign Visitors to Japan, foreign tourism might be considered an economic driver as it perhaps now causes an increase in Japan's overall GDP growth. 

But at the same time, there are some in Japan who think maybe now Japan has hit the over-tourism stage in some areas such and Kyoto and Osaka, which is causing some Japanese residents to be unsure of larger increases in foreign tourism in Japan.

It was not too long ago, just before the pandemic that many in South Korea were boycotting Japanese products and traveling to Japan for a short weekend vacation was not very popular.

But as times change, many South Korean don't even think twice about taking a weekend trip to Japan as the flight from Seoul Gimpo to Tokyo Haneda is only a two hour flight and now company employees in South Korea can easily extend the trip to three days with a day off on Friday or Monday.

And Taiwan, being just a little farther can do the same too as both Taiwan and South Korea can enjoy greater purchasing power with the weak Japanese yen which means everything is cheaper for them.

Unfortunately, there always seems to be some kind of diplomatic challenge between China and Japan as whether warranted or not Japan seems to be sometimes says things that China doesn't seem to like.

However, even though the Chinese government cautioned Chinese citizens from traveling to Japan, which is like directive not to go, it seems that 482,200 Chinese citizens ignored the supposed order and still went to Japan.

Maybe like Spain and France in Europe, Japan is the new hot spot to go to in Asia as it seems 17 markets set new visitor records which might have been unheard of even back ten years or so ago.

Yes, but the dates might be a little off as the rumor about a natural disaster was actually in the summer of 2024 not 2025, but then again the article might be talking about another possible natural disaster which could be true as Japan seems to get a lot natural disasters and rumors of natural disasters.

While foreign tourism is up there are other areas of concern in Japan such as the new or latest immigration rules which are beginning to turn away those who want to live and work in Japan which maybe many foreign tourists know nothing about.

As Japan wants and needs foreign tourism money they don't want any more foreigners, it seems, living and working Japan at this time. 

Unfortunately, there are always going to be foreign tourists in every country that don't have manners and do things that the local population doesn't like, such as noise and garbage disposal which is very important in Japan and doing it correctly is important.

Yes, foreign tourists should know and understand that they are guests in Japan and should act like guests and be respectful of the local population and its customs and try to do things that the average Japanese citizen would do everyday.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260819/p2g/00m/0sc/035000c

Monday, August 17, 2026

Japan Economy Growth: Update Aug. 24, 2026

Japan economy up 1.1% in April-June on subsidies, private consumption weak

Ideas

Annualized growth at 1.1 percent sounds good but annualized growth is always just an estimate about what could happen if all the variables remained the same for a year, which of course never happens as there are just too many ups and downs that could change in a year.

And yes government spending to help reduce the increase in prices is good but at the same more government spending increases the overall government debt, but at the same time, governments know they sometimes need to step in a help society the best they can.

Domestics demand has always been a challenge for the Japanese economy as Japanese consumers just don't spend like US consumers do or used to do, but demand or consumer spending recently just hasn't been enough to really help the economy that much.

Overall, it seems the Middle East conflict hasn't affected the Japanese economy that much, yet, but overtime is could affect it even more as supply chains become more compromised and Middle East products begin to run low.

Economist, from time to time, like the optimistic and paint as somewhat rosy picture which usually never happens as they like to keep the financial markets happy and not pain a weary picture of what might happen.

An increase of 0.41 percent in private consumption or consumer spending might not be overly positive but it does indicate a level of measured optimism in consumer spending in Japan in the future.

Yes, GDP is made of of consumer spending + business spending/investment + government spending + exports - imports. And when consumer spending is less than good or needed and business spending is also less than needed, governments will from time to time step in and spend more as a way to boost GDP, which seems to be what the Japanese government often lately.

Its good that the government has a subsidiary program to reduce high school tuition and free or reduced school meals as Japanese households now or might have more disposable income to spend in the economy.

While the subsidies for school meals and high tuition was reduced or even made free, it should mean Japanese consumers now have some extra income to either save or spend some of it in the economy in the future.

And yes, unfortunately, Japan has a smoking rate of about 15 percent which means there is still a large number or smokers in Japan but hopefully the tax on heated tobacco products will maybe get some smokers to quit and have better health.

Expectations related to demand and prices hikes are always a risky situation as sometimes projections just don't happen as expected as consumers or even businesses just don't act the way as expected from time to time.

Consumers and businesses, for the most part, don''t like new requirements on whatever and will usually refrain from buying something if it makes their lives less than practical.

Business investments or spending is always a risky situation as you never really know exactly what businesses are thinking and even when or how much they might spend from quarter to quarter.

An increase of 0.5 percent in exports and a 1.5 percent decrease in imports is not that big of a deal as it could have been worse and its quite possible Japan has, for now, dodged a bullet related to the Middle East situation.

Yes, anytime there is a decrease in imports its increase GDP as part of GDP is exports - imports which means imports take away from exports.

Private consumption or consumer spending is always a murky situation in Japan as even though its about half of Japan's GDP, it never seems to live up to being half of GDP and again consumer spending in Japan just doesn't help with economic growth that much these days.

Of course the weak yen and Japan being a resource-poor country has to import much of what it it needs and they weak yen increase the prices of imports which means most Japanese companies are going to pass-on their increased costs to the next in the supply chain, which of course could eventually mean the final Japanese consumer.

While wage increases in Japan are good and needed they is also the challenge with households having to use some or all of the wage increase just to pay their bills which means some or many households have little disposable income left for either savings or even spending in the economy.

And it must be remembered that up to 70 percent to workers in Japan don't work for the large name-brand companies and work for small and mid-size companies which means they didn't get the same wage increase as the large company employees got which they had even less to use in the economy.

Usually whenever consumers know there are going to be price increases in the future they tend to spend now to avoid the price increase later.

That is what happened in Sept. of 2019 when the Japanese government decided they would increase the sales tax from 8 to 10 percent and there was a surge in consumer spending in Sept. before the new sales tax took affect.

However, today, due to already high prices of many products in Japan many consumers are not only cautious but maybe just don't have the extra disposable income to use now due to the possible increase in prices down the road.

The Bank of Japan is a very conservative group and if they don't see the economy in a good enough position now or just a little later they are not going to increase the key rate as they know there are just too many side affects that could cause harm to the economy.

There are always going to be positives and negatives to a key rate increase but for the most part, at least the past decade, the BOJ has erred on the side of caution and they always use to say the Japanese economy was not strong enough at there are just too many side affects and could affect too many businesses and households if we increased the key rate at this time.

However, this is a new BOJ in terms of leadership and it seems they are more willing to increase the key rate as needed, but again, they are very conservative and don't make move quickly as they will study the situation carefully before doing anything.

Have a nice day!

Article source:    https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260817/p2g/00m/0bu/009000c

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Japan Wholesale Prices: Updated Aug. 16, 2026.

Japan wholesale prices up 7.2% in July amid Middle East tensions, AI demand

Ideas

An increase in wholesale prices in Japan seems to be never ending struggle and wholesalers will no doubt pass-on their increased costs to the next in the supply which eventually will be the final retail customer.

The weak Japanese yen, of course is the main variable in the increase in prices as Japan is a resource-poor country and has to import much of what it needs and is constantly being squeeze by global prices fluctuations.

Japanese households have probably felt or seen the increase in prices for a very long time and probably wonder when is it going to end as household budgets are constrained and disposable income gets less and less in many households in Japan.

For the upper middle households or higher, probably the prices increase are only glitch on the radar screen but for the middle income, lower income, and fixed income groups the prices increases can be significant strain on their finances and their everyday lives.

Yes, its quite possible that there might be rate increase in September as the current BOJ seems to much different than the previous BOJ which was very reluctant to increase the key due the idea that the Japanese economy was much to weak to handle a rate increase.

The 2 percent inflation target has been on the BOJ's radar for many years and hasn't been able to do much about it, and probably was hoping that conditions would change naturally which hasn't happened yet.

Its seems despite the interventions of the US and Japan working closely together to try and stem the weak yen, it hasn't really responded favorably in that direction as its still relatively weak and probably is going stay that way for the time being, until Japan's key interest rate is more in line with the US key interest rate.

The US rate, at the present time, stands between 3.5 and 3.75 percent while the Japan rate is at 1.0 percent which is probably causing much of the variance between the US dollar and the Japanese yen at this time.

For a very long time many Japanese companies were reluctant to pass-on their increased costs to the next in the supply chain including the final retail customer as they felt customers were a vital link and they were all in it together, but those days seems long gone as profit margins get thinner and thinner and companies no longer can depend on banks to help them so they have to pass-on their costs to either stay in business or satisfy share-holders who only seem to care about the next quarters' numbers.

Of course the Middle East situation has caused the price of products from that region to increase significantly and prices from the region are probably going to remain high for a very long time unfortunately.

Prices related to products from the Middle East region might not decrease much in the coming months as companies will keep prices relatively high due to the increase in supply chain disruptions the increase shipping disruptions as it all adds up and will remain high companies feel their profits margins can't get back to some kind of normalcy.

Like any product related to supply and demand, AI demand will increase the prices of many products and who knows exactly where it will end as its possible the AI used in products will continue to increase which means prices for products that use AI in them will continue to increase.

Imports prices most likely increased due the fact that the weak Japanese yen has increased the price of import and then add in the Middle East situation which also increased the price of many products into Japan.

For exports, most likely, the US tariff situation, and Japanese cars and products has calmed down and US consumers are back to buying Japanese products again after a period of uncertainty related to the tariff situation.

And yes, as Japan has once again become more of a player related to AI after its companies were for a while not so robust in the AI and semi conductor market as been able been to gain some market leverage and its now in a much stronger position again.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260813/p2g/00m/0bu/024000c

Monday, August 10, 2026

Japan Bankruptcies: Updated Aug, 14, 2026.

Japan bankruptcies in July top 1,000 for 2nd straight month

Ideas

Its unfortunate that any Japanese company has to file for bankruptcy as most likely the company and the employees have families that are significantly affected because of the the bankruptcy.

And its even more unfortunate that probably most if not all of the bankruptcies are related to small Japanese companies due to either labor shortage challenges and or increased cost challenges or both.

It would good, if the Japanese government could find a way to help these small companies with subsidies to help them during this period, but at the same time, some might say too much government help or interference in the market or economy would hinder the overall market or economy situation.

Its unfortunate, but a given fact, that in a market economy, there are going to those who enter the market and those who exit the market and some again would say normal market operations are more fair and just as it signals who should be in the market and who should exit a market.

Whats most unfortunate, if a large well know name brand company was considering bankruptcy but had thousands of employees and maybe thousands more suppliers and contractors, then the government might consider stepping in to help that company as there would thousands of jobs lost and the supply chains would be significantly disrupted.

But there seems to be no one coming to the aid of Japanese small companies with only a few employees or a few hundred employees at the most as they are not that important overall related to large name-brand companies in Japan.

As there is a supposed labor shortage in Japan now many workers know thatAn companies are willing or know companies need to increase their wages to attract or keep workers and its a significant strain on small companies that don't have the resources needed to increase wages and again, there doesn't seem to be much help or relief from the government or even local Prefectures to help small businesses in Japan.

And yes, a weaker yen is causing havoc with imports and increased prices as many companies  now and their profits margins are constantly under stress and it seems like an never ending struggle for many small companies now in Japan.

It seems no matter which industry or sector a small company is in they are under siege and can't seem to get out of it unless, again, they can find a way to get some kind of temporary help from their local prefecture or the overall government.

It might be a little too early to blame some bankruptcies on AI as mismanagement and the use of AI, at this time, could be a major contributor as companies are still learning how to use AI and many still don't know how or what to do with it.

For the service sector, which normally has very thin profit margins increases in labor costs and increases in raw material and energy costs probably caused most of the bankruptcies instead of AI mismanagement. 

Once again, its very unfortunate that any small company has to go bankrupt as again there are people and families involved and maybe, even with small companies, suppliers and supply chains are disrupted one way or another.

The truth is, maybe some of the bankrupt companies should never have been in business in the first place but at the same time, who is to say who should or should be able to pursue their dreams of owning a small company as again unfortunately, due to the mechanics of a market economy, there are going to be some that do well and some that unfortunately have to exit the market.

Have a nice day!

Article source:   https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260810/p2g/00m/0bu/025000c

Japan Current Account. Updated Aug. 13, 2026.

Japan's current account surplus grows 22.5% in 1st half

Ideas

Japan is a major export economy and as such it depends heavily on its current account which is like a country's bank account. A current account surplus is very important for Japan as its also a major fiscal spending economy and needs a lot of income to try and reduce its current high debt.

The Japanese economy needs to have a current account surplus in order to try and reduce its current debt to GDP ratio which is one of the highest among advanced economies but the challenge is the government, in order to try and help Japanese families, keeps spending and or makes new budgets and or uses subsidies to lesson the high energy costs.

Due to the weak Japanese yen, overseas investments is positive now but if the yen were to suddenly become stronger those investments could be less than good for many investors in due time.

Again, the weak Japanese yen, as been able to move the goods trade balance into the positive zone after many months of trying to figure out what is/was going to happen due to the US tariff situation which might have temporarily reduced the amount of goods traded between the US and Japan.

And yes, it seems Japan is back in the game related to chip related electronics as it had lost significant market share to Taiwan and South Korea but has now been able to gain some market share, along the idea that car exports to the US might be back to normal levels.

And imports increased too and it should be noted that the Japanese economy is resource-poor country and has to import much of what it needs which means its subject to global price fluctuations and the weak Japanese yen makes it even worse due to the fact that a weak yen increases the prices of import goods for the domestic economy.

Primary income is another way for the current account to increase which again will or should help reduce Japan's bloated government debt situation but only time will tell if it is really helping reduce the debt.

As the Japanese yen is very weak, it might mean there are not so many Japanese citizens traveling overseas as with a weak yen they lost significant purchasing power which means they have less to spend in whatever country they travel too.

And at the same time, as the yen is weak it means foreign/international tourists going to Japan have more purchasing power which means, potentially, they can spend more in Japan.

Its very possible, that some areas such as Kyoto in the Osaka area have instituted a tourism tax or a tax that tries to alleviate the over-tourism now going on in some areas of Japan and maybe some tourists have now decided not to travel to Japan because of the tourist tax situation.

And its possible, due to the changes in Japan immigration making it harder to emigrate to Japan some people have stopped going to Japan to see what the country is really like.

And then there is the continued Chinese situation where the on again off again diplomatic dispute between the two countries which might hvae reduced the number of Chinese tourists from going to Japan.

The decease in primary income but down 73.7 percent might be sign that overseas investors are now seeing Japan as a good place to invest and a current account deficit, while not good for some might be OK for some too, as the US always runs a current account deficit as it imports are always more than it exports.

But overall, it seems Japan depends on its current account more than the US does and Japan might need it more to try and pay off some of its current debt situation.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260810/p2g/00m/0bu/013000c