BOJ Keeps Key Interest Rate Unchanged. Updated Sept. 25, 2026.

BOJ keeps key interest rate unchanged, lifts economic outlook for FY 2026

Ideas

The Bank of Japan is a very conservative group. as are most central banks, and they are not going to increase the key rate, just to increase the rate, as it doesn't want to do any harm to the economy and the financial markets in Japan or globally.

With that said, when it's ready to increase the rate and all of the metrics line up or are close to being lined up the BOJ will act and not wait like its predecessors did in the past.

Yes, continuing to monitor the Middle East situation is good and needed along with following the AI situation in Japan and globally and of course the constant struggle with the weak Japanese yen, which is good for Japanese exporters but not so good and even worse for the Japanese domestic market. 

The challenge is what to do related to each of these situations as each situation might need a different strategy to deal with it. Such as the Middle East situation might need a key rate decrease while the AI situation might need a key rate increase and the weak yen situation, again, might need a key rate increase to come more in line with the US key rate which is much higher now than the BOJ key rate.

The Japanese economy is now considered an advanced and even a mature economy which means, it needs more and more resources to grow the economy and it just doesn't seem like the economy can find more the resources it need as a growth of 0.6 percent in fiscal 2026 might be all Japan can expect and that would be a good growth rate for Japan.

The challenge is, as it always is, the Japanese economy goes periods of ups and downs as it grows one quarter or even two and then it growth decreases sometimes for a quarter or two and it can't seem to have any real sustainable growth long term or short term or for a year.

Yes, the Middle East situation is expected to continue to cause stress for many economies globally and it doesn't seem to be near its completion any time soon. And yes, the global AI situation, now, it all countries, has now heated up and there is a race to see who can out do each other in AI even though there have been some suggesting the growth of AI should be significantly slowed down to limit potential negative side affects.

Most if not all central banks will give estimates on the coming years such as 2027 but at the same time, there are just too many variables involved that can increase or even decrease economic growth so estimates for future years, even the next year, should be taken with a grain of salt.

Of course, it's possible that as Japanese companies continue, each year, to increase wages, that consumers will begin to feel better about their wages and begin to spend again in the Japanese economy.

But at the same time, it must be remembered, that only about 30 percent of the Japanese work force actually work for the large name-brand Japanese companies and the other 70 percent work for small and mid-size companies that don't have the resources needed to give the same wage increases which means that potentially up to 70 percent of consumers in Japan might not feel so good about their wage increases which means they might not spend in the economy like 30 percent do.

Core consumer prices might increase 2.5 percent in fiscal 2026, which for some might not be that much but for some or even many might be too much as their overall disposable income continues to decrease each month or even each year, despite the wage increases given out by Japanese companies.

At one time, and not to long ago, Japanese companies were very reluctant to pass on their increased costs to the next in the supply chain including the final retail customers as they felt those in their supply chain, including the final retail customers,, were like stakeholders in their company and they didn't want to disappoint their stakeholders, but those days seem long gone now.

And yes, the consumer price index, as history has already shown, will most likely get above the 2 percent level that most central banks want to see in an economy.

CPI inflation of course is most likely going to increase to a level about the 2 percent target level as inflation, the weak yen, and the middle East situation are all potentially causing challenges for the Japanese economy these days.

Its normal for some Policy Board members to want to see an increase in the key rate to try and reduce the inflation situation but at the same time, there are those who might consider a rate increase might not be good for the economy as there might be too many side affects that could actually do more harm than good for the economy.

But as was seen later, the next month, the rate was increased to 1.25 percent. as it seems most Policy Board members voted to increase the key rate.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260731/p2g/00m/0bu/022000c

Japan Possible Cut in Food Tax: Updated Sept. 15, 2026.

Japan PM Takaichi eyes cutting consumption tax on food to 1% from April

Ideas

The idea of a tax cut might be good, but at the same time, its going to reduce how much income is going to the government, and Japan has one of the largest, if not the largest debt to GDP ratio among advanced countries.

While cash handouts have been given out before as long as inflation continues to affect low and middle-income earners and the handouts will just be a temporary reprieve from inflation, like other handouts did.

It appears or seems to be, maybe not, but it seems like its a political move to shore-up support but at the same time maybe hasn't really been thought thru enough and haven't looked at all angles all sides of the situation.

And yes the loss government income could potentially cause havoc with social security funding down the road which is what no government should tamper with as for some or many social security is a life-line.

Most if not all Prime Ministers, like other world leaders of government, always say they will find the resources needed to offset the tax cut, but unfortunately, that rarely happens and this might be a case of Japan getting more into debt that it can't pay for and could potentially cause more stress for Japanese households over the years.

If the consumption tax is so important for the funding of social security, why would any government play around with such an important group and the potential of seeing their social security payments drop due to less funding.

It sounds like a the phrase "getting the can down the road" meaning the government will try to find funding later and its possible that the current prime minister might not be in office in the all of 2027, which means another group will have to deal with the current problem again.

Unfortunately, it seems its always later when any government, not just the Japanese government that decides what do to about future and needed funding, while society and households, globally, continue to struggle with increased inflation in most countries.

Yes, there is no guarantee is correct that the planned tax reduction will lead to lower food prices and companies will just increase costs automatically to keep their profit margins high enough to overcome the high cost of raw materials and the increase in energy costs due to the Middle East situation, which are not going to be reduced anytime soon, even if the situation were to change today, and it could take 6 months for households and businesses to see any real change.

Unfortunately, even in Japan, which is known for keeping the customer happy with quality services and quality products, are now at the point that they have to take care of themselves for the good of their businesses as they have to increase prices and now pass-on their costs to their supposed loyal customers and the days of customers being considered stakeholders with their companies are long gone.

Back 37 years ago a 3 percent consumption tax might have been a good idea as inflation might have been low and Japanese households could probably handle it and at the time, maybe Japan's debt to GDP ratio was much lower which means the government was still in relatively good shape back then, despite the supposed asset bubble crash of 1989/1990.

There might be more fiscal responsible members of the Japanese Diet, but due to political alliances and political stress most probably will not saying anything against the prime minister or her ideas.

It seems, but maybe not true, that Japan is so far behind the rest of the global business community that it can't get its retail cash resister systems quickly changed with it today's hyper technology driven societies getting cash registers changed should now be a routine change taking hours and not weeks or months or years.

And then there is the idea, recognized in cross-party talks that zero percent cut might not have been the best choice and a 1 percent but might is now the best choice for everyone involved and unfortunately government have to make decisions that are not always in the best interest of everyone as they have to make compromises again for the good of everyone.

As usual, and normal, political parties never seem to agree on much as they all have different priorities and different constituents to answer to, so its never easy to get them to compromise on much of anything these days.

Cash handouts to low to middle-income household has been tried before  while they are good temporarily they are just a temporary reprieve from the stress that low-income families have to deal with every day and not once.

There just seem to be too many items that are like "kicking the can down the road" situation as low-income households need help now and not a year or two years from now. 

Of course some might are ague that in a market economy its not really the government's job to take care of everyone as some might say its the individual or even the family that should do that.

But then there is the idea that the government should, like in many Northern European countries do, and take care of as many as possible to make life easier to live for the good of all in a society.

The ideas of the consumption tax funding some or all of social security is not a bad idea but it should be done in a way that doesn't cost too much stress on society.

Perhaps it should be done like a tax in a year or month or weekly income and it should be proportional meaning the more income a household makes the more tax will be taken out of their monthly income as a way to fund social security and of course the less income you make each month the less you pay into to fund.

But it should not be a burden for any household and should not stress out any household especially the low-income groups.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260730/p2g/00m/0na/023000c

Japan Govt. GDP Growth Outlook: Updated Aug. 7, 2026

Gov't cuts Japan's FY 2026 GDP growth outlook to 0.9% on higher oil price

Ideas

Japan is a very mature economy and is never going to see economic growth of 2 or 3 percent ever again as it takes more and more resources to grow an economy as an economy gets larger and Japan with projected growth of just 0.9 percent is still a lot of growth for a economy like Japans.

Japan's fiscal health, recently the last few decades, is always in question as Japan has one of the highest debt to GDP ratios among advanced nations but its true that there will be a surplus of 1.4 trillion yen, that is good for an Japan as it needs to reduce its debt if it can.

The Japanese Prime Minister is a fiscal dove which means she is using a lot of government spending to try and get the economy moving again, but there is a downside and it increases government debt which the financial markets don't like to see, knowing how much debt the government has now.

But at the same time, government may feel they have no choice but to spend and try and get the economy moving if other variables such as consumer spending or business investment/spending is not enough. 

And then there is the idea of exports, which is a major economic driver for the Japanese economy but is always being subtracted due to Japan being a resource-poor country and has to import much of what is needs causing the affect of exports to be much less than needed for the economy.

Yes, it might seem the projected surplus is going to help reduce the existing government debt but there is so much debt now that will only help but not in a significant way to really reduce the debt, as the Japanese government just keeps spending with new program and budgets as they have always done.

And of course there are always, it seems, new supplementary budgets that might be needed in some cases but continue to increase the debt that Japan has now.

The weak Japanese yen is both a positive and a negative for the Japanese economy as it helps export companies but hurts importers and others as it drives up costs in the overall domestic economy in Japan.

Of course wage growth in Japan is long overdue and companies have kept a mindset of not increasing wages for a very long time as now company employees just might begin to feel like they can start spending their wage increase in the economy again, and yes, government subsidies do help with increasing the disposable income of Japanese households and helps them spend a little more in the economy.

Japan has always been vulnerable to an increase in global prices but what is a little strange is Japan only has a few free trade agreements that can help reduce global prices.

You would think Japan would try to get as many FTA's as possible to reduce import and global prices but unfortunately it seems there are many political roadblocks that have prevented them to do so.

And of course there is always the need to sound optimistic in order to keep the domestic and global financial markets happy even though a lot can change by next April.

The Japanese government is no exception as they are always coming up with new phrases and slogans that sound good but for the most part, don't really live up to what they were meant to do.

The investment allotment might be a very good idea but of course there could be many variables that might constrain the original idea as next year is still a long way off.

The investment allotment, again, sounds but at the same time, there might be too much political influence as to who gets chosen and who doesn't as usual politics might get in the way of a good idea.

There is a long time to go before the plan is implemented which means, as most political decisions go, there could be many changes before than and now.

Have a nice day!

Article source:    https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260730/p2g/00m/0bu/013000c

Japan Minimum Wage Hikes: Updated Aug. 6, 2026.

Japan hikes FY2026 average minimum wage guideline by 4.9% to 1,176 yen

Ideas

Increasing the minimum wage can be seen as both a positive or a negative depending on if you are part-time worker or a owner of a company that has to pay the increased minimum wage.

Part-time service workers, those who work in the service sector industry are usually the ones to get the minimum wage and of course the minimum wage is a cost or increased cost for companies and many, while they might want to see their employees get a higher income don't want or can't afford an increase in their profit margins.

Yes, that is exactly the challenge of giving workers an actual living wage and at the same time show some consideration for small and mid-size companies who usually have razor thin profits margins and can't really afford even a 55 yen increase in their costs.

This is where the government, if at all possible, should find a way to help out both groups as it seems there is an estimated 36 percent of all workers in this group and that means if they can't get a better wage, they of course really can't spend much in the economy which means less consumer spending and less growth for the economy.

The larger metro areas in Japan of course will get a higher minimum wage, as the cost of living in the large metro areas are more expensive but at the same time, even the small rural areas might have a large significant minimum wage group that also needs consideration as they too have to pay bills and feed their families.

But of course there is still the challenge with small and mid-size companies and what to do about them or for them as the government, doesn't seem to be doing much really to help them, but at the same time is it the responsibility of the government, in a market economy, to help every small and mid-size company that needs help.

But comes a point or a time, when its time to say enough is enough, and we, the government, for the good of society and the economy, need to step in with subsidies or programs, that actually do something to help small and mid-size companies who just don't have the needed resources to handle all of the increase in costs such as material costs, energy cost, and of course increased labor costs.

It is estimated that 99 percent of all companies in Japan are small companies and if a large or significant number of them can't pay their bills and are increasing faced with some kind of bankruptcy, what does that say about society or a government that doesn't find a way to help them in their time of need.

Unfortunately Japan's present day minimum wage is the 5th lowest among all OECD countries which means it has a long way to go to catch up with all the other advanced economies as it just shows how far Japan has fallen since the 1989 asset crash, when the Japanese economy was at its highest point.

But of course yes, the more rural regions have lower overall cost situation but at the same time, there are still people/workers there who need a higher minimum wage as they to have to take care of their families and or pay their bills.

Yes, again, companies are faced with not only an increase in possible minimum wage increases but also an increase in material costs and an increase in energy costs as sometimes it seems small businesses just can't get a break as their costs just keep increasing every year.

So the problem is both minimum wage earners and companies both continue to face increased costs as everyday inflation in Japan just keeps increasing affecting mostly the middle class and the lower middle class which many part-time workers belong too and then of course increased costs related to energy, materials, and then labor too are causing stress for many if not all small businesses in Japan these days.

In a perfect world, where the costs of energy and material were not significantly increasing small and mid-size companies might less hesitant to agree to the minimum wage increases but as now there is a triple threat for companies with increases in energy, materials and now possible an increase in labor costs there is unfortunately going to be some bankruptcies or some small businesses leaving the market as they just can't handle all of the increase in costs.

Small and mid-size companies in Japan might want to help their part-time or minimum wage workers but they are stressed on all sides and most likely there  is nothing they can do unless they can get some kind of government help with the situation.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260729/p2g/00m/0bu/025000c

Japan Economy: Ideas Later. Updated July 26, 2026.

Japan economy may surpass 73-month postwar growth record in July

Ideas

The government, as a way to not upset or scare the financial markets, always tries to spin the economic situation as being positive and or a recovering moderately even though there might some sectors not doing so well.

And yes, the Japanese economy might have grown 73 consecutive months but mostly likely the expansion or growth, while positive, might be considered minimal growth at best.

The economic growth, yes positive, as not been enough to really help Japanese households or even some some business such as small and mid-size companies in Japan.

And of course the cost of living continues to be a significant factor in Japan as even again small and mid-size companies continue to struggle costs which seems to be not out of control but rather enough to stress out households and businesses in Japan.

Most likely the Cabinet Office panel, to make sure the financial markets and large companies are placated will say in one way or another that the economy did expand for 73 months, even though again, the expansion can be described as just minimal.

And yes, even though, to be positive, despite significant global situations, the Japanese economy while not that strong has been able to ignore or by-pass many of the disturbances affecting many other countries.

Of course like all leaders of a country, or most anyway, they need and want to say "everyone across Japan can really feel that 'the economy is getting better," when in reality, as with most countries, these days, not everyone is feeling the economy is getting better but they have to say it anyway.

And yes, they want to see everyone is doing better because of the economy is doing better, but unfortunately, in a market economy, because of the increase in inequality, there are some who are doing better and some who are not doing better.

Yes personal consumption or consumer spending might be solid being about half of Japan's GDP, but at the same time, it might not be enough to actually help the expansion be even better, and while wage hikes are good and needed, they need to be continued with even more, with even more, if possible, from small and mid-size companies make up about 70 percent of the workforce is in Japan and not the large name-brand companies which make up maybe 30 percent of the workforce.

Yes government subsidies are needed and important for many Japanese households as their disposable income, ever since the pandemic continues to be eroded.

Capital investment or company spending is very important if the economy is robust and most likely its a good metric that shows companies in Japan are bullish on the economy and are willing to spend significantly as need.

But here is the challenge or maybe the blind spot that is missing here, as back in the late 1990's when the global economy was at its peak and booming no one really saw or thought that there might be a dot.com bust which could be on the horizon related to artificial intelligence and semiconductors.

Its looks like since the so-called US tariff situation has resolved but you can really never know for sure, demand for Japanese cars in Japan has grown again and but at the same time there is still the challenge of inflation in the US that is affecting many families too.

And of course Japanese government officials are going to say its going to take some time, as they don't want to say anything negative as again they don't want to upset to financial markets in Japan or globally, so they are taking a wait and see approach for as long as they can.

And that seems to how Japan does things by taking a lot of time to decide something looking at all the possibilities and even scenarios to a situation while, good or not so good, for most the the time, the US is much different in how they makes decisions.

Yes, that statement, "its hard to be genuinely happy at a time when is uncertain whether inflation-adjusted real wages will keep rising," as here the Japanese government is not only being realistic but at the same time being somewhat in concert with the rest of Japan might everything is not good or feels good even though there might actually be 73 months of economic expansion.

The problem is many household probably haven't felt the economic expansion due to the continued inflation situation in Japan along the idea, again, that up to 70 percent of the Japanese workforce don't work for the large name-brand companies but small and mid-size companies that are unable to match or give the same wage increases that the large companies can give.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260723/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c

BOJ Position: Updated July 23, 2026.

BOJ to stand pat on rates in July, may raise growth forecast.

Ideas

The Bank of Japan always seems, recently, to say its looking into the situation about the economy, and for the most part, never jumps to quick decision making as increasing the key rate can sometimes have significant side affects to many in the economy.

Yes, there might be strong demand for artificial intelligence products but at the same time, it might not be so strong as it might just be too soon to see whats going on as a month here or there of strong demand doesn't mean it will hold for a year.

And yes, economic growth might finally be trending upward but again an month here there or even a quarter here or there of positive growth doesn't mean growth for a year so more needs to be seen in the coming months.

Again, the BOJ is going to take its time to see just how much the increase in the key rate is affecting business and households and for a very long time, the BOJ's position was the Japanese economy was just to weak to be able to handle a key rate increase so it will be interesting to see just what is stance is now related to the latest rate hike.

And the latest statement that it would allow the bank to asses the impact is maybe communication to the financial markets that its not going to do increase the rate in July as it sometimes, like most central banks, they talk in code to communicate what they might do in the future.

The main targets, usually, that a central bank wants to manage or help control in an economy is inflation and unemployment and as unemployment is not a major problem these days for the BOJ as Japan is supposedly in the midst of a labor shortage but inflation has been a challenge for the Japanese economy almost since the beginning of COVID and to this day inflation is still not under control in Japan, as Japanese households are still experiencing increased prices and now the energy situation could get even worse.

And then there is the weak yen, which can be both a positive and a negative depending if it's an export company or companies in Japan that don't export. For example a weak Japanese yen actually gives more money or yen to Japanese export companies as the price of their products will be higher but at the same time for domestic companies in Japan that don't export, as Japan is a resource-poor country, Japan has to import much of what it needs meaning, due to the weak yen import prices are going to be much higher which potentially can put the entire economy under significant stress.

Its highly unlikely that the Japanese economy is going to overheat unless you use the idea that continued inflation over 3 percent is enough to say that an economy is close to or is overheating but the Japanese economy, for the most part, has been around 3 percent or a little under it for a very long time.

And then there is the idea of unemployment and while Japan does have a significant challenge with unemployment at this time, but usually with unemployment its about an economy that is running at full steam and companies can't find enough workers, but in Japan's case the economy is not running at full steam, as its just beginning to grow after a period of stagnation and even though some reports and articles might suggest the Japanese economy is nearing a record for so many months of economic growth, the growth, while still growth, has been minimal at best, and the Japanese economy might be growing ever so slowly its not growing significantly enough to say the economy is overheating in any sense of the word.

And yes, the BOJ might decide to increase the rate but the increase might be very slight as to not cause a lot of side effects on the economy.

Have a nice day!

 Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260717/p2g/00m/0bu/040000c

Japan and Foreign Visitors: Updated July 16, 2026.

Foreign visitors to Japan dip 2% in 1st-half 2026 as Chinese travelers drop

Ideas

A 2.0 percent decrease from a year earlier should not be that much of a concern considering some in Japan now think there are too many foreign tourists entering Japan. And the idea there was a decrease in Chinese tourists should make some happy as again, there have been complaints lately of too many tourists and over-tourism has become a real challenge in Japan now.

It's interesting, as maybe not all Chinese tourists are following exactly what the government wants or says as sometimes a suggestion can be like an order in China, but if there were 2.06 million tourists from China that indicates maybe they can make their own choices without government interference.

It's also interesting that as early as 2019 or around there, South Korea had a supposed boycott on Japanese products and even traveling to Japan was limited as South Korean tourists and travelers avoided going to Japan but those days seem long gone as other articles have suggested that South Korean tourists are the number one group entering Japan or close to it.

Taiwan, compared to China and South Korea has always had a friendly relationship with Japan and they haven't had any of the post-war entanglements that the other two countries have had and as a result tourists from Taiwan has remained consistent while both China and South Korea have had periods of less than normal relations, kind of like squabbling siblings going back and forth over the years.

It seem, unfortunately, whether deserved or not or whether deliberate or not, Japan keeps saying things that seem to upset China and has at times also upset South Korea from time to time but these days South Korea and Japan seem to be going out of their way to make sure all things are normal as maybe they are looking at China as the main instigator in the Asia-Pacific region and both countries seem to be working together now on diplomatic and security issues.

But as mentioned above there were 2.06 million visitors from China that visited Japan, so there are still quite a few who want to go to Japan and spend their money.

It's quite possible that a decrease of 6.8 percent from a year earlier might be just enough to satisfy those in Japan who think and feel that over-tourism has overtaken Japan and some might want to see even less tourists.

The problem is the Japanese domestic economy is now heavily dependent on foreign tourism for spending as overall, consumer spending in the domestic economy is now where it should be due to the continued inflation situation.

As the Japanese yen is very weak now, which gives foreign tourists more purchasing power Japanese businesses should welcome foreign tourists with open arms as they spend a lot when they are in Japan despite, unfortunately, there are always going to be some who have poor manners in Japan like some tourists in all countries these days.

Have a nice day!

Article source:    https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260715/p2g/00m/0li/056000c

Japan Overseas Travel Situation: Updated July 16, 2026.

Japan's summer outbound travel to fall 9% on weak yen, 1st post-COVID drop

Ideas.

There are probably more than one reason why travel out of Japan is going to decrease during the summer holiday period than just the weak yen. The weak yen has been around for a very long time and Japanese households and consumers have had a lot of reasons not to travel, if they don't want to besides weak yen

The overall inflation situation has not been that good so the disposable income or money needed to save for an overseas trip has been eroding almost since the pandemic period and then add in all the global situations going on and it might deter some from traveling overseas.

And then there was the football/soccer world cup in the US and some or many Japanese might have traveled to Mexico and the US to see the Japanese national football play and some might have gone to Nashville TN to see them workout before the competition began.

Yes, the Obon holiday period this year might see less people traveling as maybe travel for this has peaked already with the Golden Week period and then the World Cup competition period about to end in a few days and people are exhausted not to mention the record high temperatures that are already hitting Japan, which might keep people inside or at least from traveling this summer.

And then there is the continued high cost of airline tickets and the Middle East situation and the so-called shortage of oil and gas is increasing airline tickets and unfortunately the summer holiday travel period is usually the most expensive time to travel.

It might be no surprise that travel could decrease more than 9 percent as it could get as high as over 12 percent the summer holiday period as people for the most part, are just exhausted and again add in the record high temperatures in Japan along with the continued inflation situation and the eroding of disposable incomes, and then of course the weak yen means even less purchasing power for Japanese consumers overseas.

Yes, shorter trips to South Korea and Taiwan are probably the most logical trips to take and both regions seem to be having a record number of tourists.

But, as some news outlets have recently reported hotel rooms in South Korea are all filled up and they just have enough room for all of the foreign travelers wanting to travel there.

And of course, unfortunately, the China situation is very sad and always the on again and off again situation with China just keeps making the news which means of course Japanese travelers are going to be very weary about traveling to Japan this summer.

Again, it very possible the projected record heat this summer, which some have suggested it already here, might deter traveling even more and a drop of 4.4 percent might be more than 7 or 8 percent this summer, but it still very possible domestic travelers are going to seek out cooler places to travel if the can go there and that's the key can they afford to go to the cooler regions of Japan this summer.

Of course the Tokyo region including Yokohama just south of Tokyo to might see an increase of domestic travelers but as some news has suggested there might not be enough hotel rooms this summer and foreign tourists too might be headed to the Tokyo area if not the Kyoto/Osaka area.

Yes, overall, in most countries there are polarization's related to traveling as some want to keep within a budget and take shorter trips and some want to splurge on expensive trips that they've been planning for a long time.

But most likely Japanese travelers, for the most part, are in the budget category as they are still mostly savers and not big spenders as maybe the big spender travelers are the wealthy and upper-income group in Japan who will splurge on a long holiday trip to Hawaii or even to Europe.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260712/p2g/00m/0bu/005000c

Japan June Wholesale Prices: Updated July 13, 2026.

Japan wholesale prices up 7.1% in June, fastest rise in over 3 years

Ideas

Up recently many Japanese companies were reluctant to increase prices as they felt customers were very important to their business and they felt an connection to customers and society to keep prices down somewhat.

But those days seems long gone, as profits margins become very think and companies can no longer absorb their costs and now they have no choice but to pass-on their costs to the next I the supply chain.

And yes, the Middle East situation is affecting numerous industries globally and for the most part, it looks like the effects will continue on for a long time.

It's easy to say companies should have always have had alternative sources but finding the needed or exact alternative sources at the right price can be a challenge for many companies who have limited resources and limited profit margins.

However, companies, for the most part, especially as Japan is a resource-poor country, should always try to have alternative sources these days as the global environment is just too volatile and is always changing and sometimes not in the favor of some industries or companies.

Yes, not just products directly related to crude oil but now consumer goods that might be made indirectly from oil type materials are now seeing prices increases as companies can no longer absorb the increase in raw material or finished material prices and have no choice but to pass-on their costs to the next in the supply chain including the final retail customer.

Unfortunately, these days, even some companies that might have products that have no direct link to the Middle East situation might use it or rationalize it that their products are being affected indirectly and also will increase the prices on their products, as a way to squeeze out more profits.

Of course packaging products are significantly being affected by the situation in the Middle East and to change packaging, which is a form or advertising, might be very difficult and it takes a lot of time to change to simple packaging or alternative forms or packaging.

The challenge might be customers who identify products with colorful packaging might not be able to find the products they want or need if they can't see the same packaging which maybe for the elderly or fixed income customers could be difficult for them.

Global prices, ever since the pandemic seem to be increasing monthly or even at least yearly as companies, now days, just seem to continue to increase prices to keep their shareholders happy with no regard for customers as it seems customers are now not important as companies only care about what their shareholders want or need.

The Bank of Japan, at least on the surface, does seem to care about society and the overall affect that increasing the key rate will have and are trying to keep the rate as low as possible so that the key rate side affects don't have that much of an affect on Japanese society and the economy.

Again, many companies in Japan, back in the day, used to be very reluctant to increase prices as customers, along with employees were considered important stakeholders for the company and increasing prices was sometimes seems as being disloyal to customers, but those days seem long gone as profit margins continue to decrease and companies are putting a lot of emphasis on keeping shareholders happy and not company employees and especially customers who no longer the most important component of their business.

Japan is resource-poor country which means it has to import much of what it needs and is subject always to global price fluctuations and the weak Japanese yen, which helps Japanese export companies hurts import prices and the overall Japanese domestic economy.

But its interesting that the Bank of Japan is very aware of this situation and seems, at this time, to be favoring Japanese export companies as exporters can get more yen or dollars for their products in overseas market, which significantly increase Japan's current account.

At the same time, as the Japanese yen, remains very weak and foreign tourist numbers keep increasing in Japan the BOJ is thinking that foreign tourists and the weak yen, which increase the purchasing power of foreign tourists, will be a significant boost to the Japanese economy and the BOJ doesn't really need to do anything about the weak yen at this time.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260710/p2g/00m/0bu/022000c

Japan May Current Account: Updated July 15, 2026.

Japan logs 3.97 tril. yen current account surplus in May on firm exports

Ideas

It seems as maybe Japan has finally overcome the US tariff situation with exporting more cars to the US again and finding its footing in the competitive semiconductor global market race, which in affect which seems to have diversified in export portfolio, which Japan needs to do to make sure its export portfolio doesn't just rely on cars and car parts.

At the same time, Japan needs to continue to increase it export portfolio as the global market can be very volatile at times and specific markets or regions are always up or down depending on the situations.

Yes, it seems Japan always seems to do something that makes China unhappy and whether they do it on purpose or not, it always seems to be there, even though maybe business people in both countries don't like it.

Unfortunately, Chinese tourists who used to visit Japan in large number have seemed to have decreased as some or many follow what the government asks or says and go to other countries for visits now such as Thailand, or South Korea, or Vietnam instead of Japan.

It must be noted that the weak Japanese yen seems to be driving most of the surplus as even Japanese overseas investments can see huge increases as the weak yen is favorable to exporters and those who invest in overseas markets too.

As such, its seems most likely the Bank of Japan has noticed this situation and, even though the weak Japanese yen is not the best option for the Japanese domestic economy, there are just too many positives and as such the BOJ is not going to disrupt the flow of money coming into the current account with a huge key interest rate increase in the future.

Yes both primary income and the overall goods trade benefit significantly from a weak yen and again, most likely, the BOJ is not going to do anything really significant to disrupt the flow in the current account.

However, as inflation continues on in Japan, the BOJ might increase the key rate slightly as a way to try and slow down inflation but not a huge increase in the rate that might have an affect on the weak Japanese yen which could cause the current account to decrease.

Japan is still a major export nation as its economy after the second world war was rebuilt based on exporting Japanese products globally.

Japan, it seems, has become a major player related to chip-related electronics and artificial intelligence technology maybe only being surpassed by Taiwan and South Korea.

And of course Japan is a resource-poor country and has to import much of what it needs and its subject to all of the situations globally which of course increases prices to the detriment of the Japanese domestic economy.

Even at 313,000 tourists from China is still a significant number of tourists and are still spending a lot of money and yen in Japan so its not a complete waste or crisis about that the current Japanese Prime Minister said even though it probably should never have happened.

Unfortunately, Japan is not very good at software that is used by other countries because to the US and as such no one really wants Japanese made software, if they make it in the first place, and as such as there are of course more foreign tourists entering Japan, spending a lot of many but less Japanese going overseas mainly due to the weak Japanese yen, which decreases the purchasing power or Japanese consumers overseas.

As suggested in other articles, Japanese are not going to travel overseas that much due to budget limitations, the weak yen, and of course maybe the increase in fuel costs by airlines and increased airline ticket prices.

And yes, there might have been a slight decrease in inbound or foreign tourists into Japan but Japan is still experiencing record tourism numbers and it might continue this summer.

And its been suggested, as a side note, that Japanese hotels and motels while almost at full capacity are experiencing a labor shortage as they can't find enough workers to work at the hotels and that might be related to the idea that hotels are a services sector industry which has very thin profit margins and can't afford to pay higher wages that many companies are now paying to get the best workers in Japan.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260708/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c

Japan Jan.-June Bankruptcies: Updated July 10, 2026.

Japan bankruptcies in Jan.-June top 5,000 for 1st time in 12 years

Ideas

It's unfortunate that there are so many bankruptcies in Japan now as inflation, and the labor shortage has forced many companies,, especially small companies, to leave the market.

You probably will not find many of the large name-brand companies filing for bankruptcy as they, for the most part always have a lot of resources, not to mention connections, to fall back  on.

Inflation along with the weak Japanese yen has increased import prices and as Japan is a resource-poor country has to depend a lot on imports which means prices for foreign raw materials are going to put a lot of pressure on many small and mid-sized companies which usually have very thin profit margins and really can't afford the higher import prices.

While there are positives and negatives for a government to intervene in a market economy, in this situation it might the right thing to do for the Japanese government to find ways to help these struggling companies as companies are made up of people and families and the pain for many of them might be too unbearable to handle.

Firms with fewer than 10 employees means, for the most part, means they have less resources and probably less connections in the market which means they probably have fewer choices to help them out of their current situation, as unfortunately, it can be a very sad and terrible situation for the 10 or few employees for those companies.

And yes, due to their thin profits margins, and the current labor shortage in Japan, many small companies just can't afford to match the wage increases of larger firms or even medium sized firms which means most likely many of the smaller firms lost employees and were unable to find replacements as they just couldn't afford again to pay the wages needed by many who were looking or needed a job.

The services sector traditionally has very thin profits margins and the reason the mostly hire part-time workers or contract workers and fewer full-time workers as their profits margins just can't handle a large number of regular full-time workers.

And restaurants and food retailers, being service companies, are perfect examples of companies that higher a lot of part-time workers or contract workers and also they just can't pass-on their increased costs to the final retail customer as customers will try to find other places to buy food.

And even more importantly, as inflation continues on in Japan, many consumers are cutting back and not eating out as much and maybe even limiting buy from delivery companies as the prices of food delivery as sky-rocketed in Japan recently.

Yes, almost every region in Japan has seen an increase in bankruptcies as no area is immune from the increase in prices or even the labor shortage affecting all regions.

Once again, it should seem like a good idea, for the good of society, for the Japanese government to try and intervene in some of these bankruptcies without causing too much harm to overall market dynamics. 

But, unfortunately companies entering a market and leaving a market are, some would say, just the normal workings of a market and governments, for the most part, should not interfere too much in it and let the market decide naturally who should be in the market and who should exit the market.

The only problem with that idea, even though its economically sound, is companies, especially small companies, are make up of families and people and bankruptcies can takes a significant toll on families and even communities.

Yes, even small mom and pop companies and companies which might only be a husband and wife, these days, can still feel the affects of what's going on in the global economy and no one in any country or region is immune as the global economy is so inter-connected that everyone can feel the affects of all situations globally.

Unfortunately, as inflation continues in Japan as profit margins are stretched to their limits, and as the supposed labor shortage continues on in Japan, and if the Japanese government can't find ways to be more like the Northern Europeans countries with their significant social networks that help society, Japan might continue to have more bankruptcies is the fuure.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260708/p2g/00m/0bu/026000c