Japan's July core consumer inflation rises 1.8%, up for 2nd month
Ideas
Japan's core consumer prices have continued to increase ever since the end of the pandemic and it seems like they are not coming down anytime soon.
Globally, it seems to be a problem for most if not all countries and consumer prices just keep increasing and again it doesn't seem like its going to end anytime soon, and high prices may now be the new normal for Japan and the global economy.
And yes, the BOJ might take action in September, as suggested by some due the increase in prices of many things including what is happiness with AI.
At 1.6 percent for the consumer price index it means that inflation in Japan is maybe not increasing but at least remaining somewhat stable for the past seven months.
At the same time, even at 1.6 percent it might still be a little too high for those who work part time, or contract work, or even those on fixed incomes in Japan.
Many countries prefer to keep the inflation level at 2 percent or less as it seems to be a manageable percent for most central banks globally.
Of course the challenge with plastic materials is going to be major problem for many companies in Japan especially food and supermarkets.
Even with an increase of 3 percent for the price of food some households in Japan might still feel the price increases while those in maybe the middle income or higher groups might not even notice the increase, as it might not be dent their food budgets.
But hamburger prices, while usually not a main food product in Japan might have seen supply chains disruptions and the reason for the increase in prices along with maybe supply challenges.
Yes, the shortage of plastic materials meaning any plastic that is used for many things might have been significantly challenged with shortage and or course supply chain disruptions in the Middle East.
It seems semiconductors, now days, is used is most electronic products and the increase in demand for AI products related to semiconductors, over the past year or so has significantly increased the price of tables and notebook computers.
And no doubt the Middle East situation, whether direct or not has had an affect on a ll energy commodities and energy companies, as usual are quick to increase prices even if their commodity products are not related to the Middle East situation.
Electricity and gas, whether used by households or companies can easily turn into a major monthly expense or at least an expense that can be controlled somewhat but not completely.
Of course, as needed and very important energy subsidies can help the average household and especially those who do need to use a car in the major metro areas but especially in the rural areas where people have to drive a lot to get from one point to another.
Government, state, and local subsidies are very much needed in Japan to defer the increased costs of the volatile global energy situation, but its sometimes debated as to how much should governments intervene or provide subsidies and how much does it disrupt normal market operations in an economy.
In economics subsidies are always being debated about the positives and negatives of them as there are good and not so good ideas related to subsidies, as they tend to help households and consumers but at the same time drive up the government debt which as of now Japan's debt to GDP is significantly higher than it should be.
Every so often statistical agencies will change the base year as what was evaluated years ago might not be relevant for today so the reason for agencies moving the base year from 2020 to 2025 as even a six year difference can mean a significant different in consumer spending and and the products bought over time.
Finally, even a 1.9 percent in the core-core CPI can have a major impact on some groups in Japan such as the fixed income groups, the part time worker groups, the contract worker groups and especially the single mom who has to take care of her children on a limited income.
Have a nice day!
Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260821/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c