Japan Economy: Ideas Later. Updated July 26, 2026.

Japan economy may surpass 73-month postwar growth record in July

Ideas

The government, as a way to not upset or scare the financial markets, always tries to spin the economic situation as being positive and or a recovering moderately even though there might some sectors not doing so well.

And yes, the Japanese economy might have grown 73 consecutive months but mostly likely the expansion or growth, while positive, might be considered minimal growth at best.

The economic growth, yes positive, as not been enough to really help Japanese households or even some some business such as small and mid-size companies in Japan.

And of course the cost of living continues to be a significant factor in Japan as even again small and mid-size companies continue to struggle costs which seems to be not out of control but rather enough to stress out households and businesses in Japan.

Most likely the Cabinet Office panel, to make sure the financial markets and large companies are placated will say in one way or another that the economy did expand for 73 months, even though again, the expansion can be described as just minimal.

And yes, even though, to be positive, despite significant global situations, the Japanese economy while not that strong has been able to ignore or by-pass many of the disturbances affecting many other countries.

Of course like all leaders of a country, or most anyway, they need and want to say "everyone across Japan can really feel that 'the economy is getting better," when in reality, as with most countries, these days, not everyone is feeling the economy is getting better but they have to say it anyway.

And yes, they want to see everyone is doing better because of the economy is doing better, but unfortunately, in a market economy, because of the increase in inequality, there are some who are doing better and some who are not doing better.

Yes personal consumption or consumer spending might be solid being about half of Japan's GDP, but at the same time, it might not be enough to actually help the expansion be even better, and while wage hikes are good and needed, they need to be continued with even more, with even more, if possible, from small and mid-size companies make up about 70 percent of the workforce is in Japan and not the large name-brand companies which make up maybe 30 percent of the workforce.

Yes government subsidies are needed and important for many Japanese households as their disposable income, ever since the pandemic continues to be eroded.

Capital investment or company spending is very important if the economy is robust and most likely its a good metric that shows companies in Japan are bullish on the economy and are willing to spend significantly as need.

But here is the challenge or maybe the blind spot that is missing here, as back in the late 1990's when the global economy was at its peak and booming no one really saw or thought that there might be a dot.com bust which could be on the horizon related to artificial intelligence and semiconductors.

Its looks like since the so-called US tariff situation has resolved but you can really never know for sure, demand for Japanese cars in Japan has grown again and but at the same time there is still the challenge of inflation in the US that is affecting many families too.

And of course Japanese government officials are going to say its going to take some time, as they don't want to say anything negative as again they don't want to upset to financial markets in Japan or globally, so they are taking a wait and see approach for as long as they can.

And that seems to how Japan does things by taking a lot of time to decide something looking at all the possibilities and even scenarios to a situation while, good or not so good, for most the the time, the US is much different in how they makes decisions.

Yes, that statement, "its hard to be genuinely happy at a time when is uncertain whether inflation-adjusted real wages will keep rising," as here the Japanese government is not only being realistic but at the same time being somewhat in concert with the rest of Japan might everything is not good or feels good even though there might actually be 73 months of economic expansion.

The problem is many household probably haven't felt the economic expansion due to the continued inflation situation in Japan along the idea, again, that up to 70 percent of the Japanese workforce don't work for the large name-brand companies but small and mid-size companies that are unable to match or give the same wage increases that the large companies can give.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260723/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c

BOJ Position: Updated July 23, 2026.

BOJ to stand pat on rates in July, may raise growth forecast.

Ideas

The Bank of Japan always seems, recently, to say its looking into the situation about the economy, and for the most part, never jumps to quick decision making as increasing the key rate can sometimes have significant side affects to many in the economy.

Yes, there might be strong demand for artificial intelligence products but at the same time, it might not be so strong as it might just be too soon to see whats going on as a month here or there of strong demand doesn't mean it will hold for a year.

And yes, economic growth might finally be trending upward but again an month here there or even a quarter here or there of positive growth doesn't mean growth for a year so more needs to be seen in the coming months.

Again, the BOJ is going to take its time to see just how much the increase in the key rate is affecting business and households and for a very long time, the BOJ's position was the Japanese economy was just to weak to be able to handle a key rate increase so it will be interesting to see just what is stance is now related to the latest rate hike.

And the latest statement that it would allow the bank to asses the impact is maybe communication to the financial markets that its not going to do increase the rate in July as it sometimes, like most central banks, they talk in code to communicate what they might do in the future.

The main targets, usually, that a central bank wants to manage or help control in an economy is inflation and unemployment and as unemployment is not a major problem these days for the BOJ as Japan is supposedly in the midst of a labor shortage but inflation has been a challenge for the Japanese economy almost since the beginning of COVID and to this day inflation is still not under control in Japan, as Japanese households are still experiencing increased prices and now the energy situation could get even worse.

And then there is the weak yen, which can be both a positive and a negative depending if it's an export company or companies in Japan that don't export. For example a weak Japanese yen actually gives more money or yen to Japanese export companies as the price of their products will be higher but at the same time for domestic companies in Japan that don't export, as Japan is a resource-poor country, Japan has to import much of what it needs meaning, due to the weak yen import prices are going to be much higher which potentially can put the entire economy under significant stress.

Its highly unlikely that the Japanese economy is going to overheat unless you use the idea that continued inflation over 3 percent is enough to say that an economy is close to or is overheating but the Japanese economy, for the most part, has been around 3 percent or a little under it for a very long time.

And then there is the idea of unemployment and while Japan does have a significant challenge with unemployment at this time, but usually with unemployment its about an economy that is running at full steam and companies can't find enough workers, but in Japan's case the economy is not running at full steam, as its just beginning to grow after a period of stagnation and even though some reports and articles might suggest the Japanese economy is nearing a record for so many months of economic growth, the growth, while still growth, has been minimal at best, and the Japanese economy might be growing ever so slowly its not growing significantly enough to say the economy is overheating in any sense of the word.

And yes, the BOJ might decide to increase the rate but the increase might be very slight as to not cause a lot of side effects on the economy.

Have a nice day!

 Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260717/p2g/00m/0bu/040000c

Japan and Foreign Visitors: Updated July 16, 2026.

Foreign visitors to Japan dip 2% in 1st-half 2026 as Chinese travelers drop

Ideas

A 2.0 percent decrease from a year earlier should not be that much of a concern considering some in Japan now think there are too many foreign tourists entering Japan. And the idea there was a decrease in Chinese tourists should make some happy as again, there have been complaints lately of too many tourists and over-tourism has become a real challenge in Japan now.

It's interesting, as maybe not all Chinese tourists are following exactly what the government wants or says as sometimes a suggestion can be like an order in China, but if there were 2.06 million tourists from China that indicates maybe they can make their own choices without government interference.

It's also interesting that as early as 2019 or around there, South Korea had a supposed boycott on Japanese products and even traveling to Japan was limited as South Korean tourists and travelers avoided going to Japan but those days seem long gone as other articles have suggested that South Korean tourists are the number one group entering Japan or close to it.

Taiwan, compared to China and South Korea has always had a friendly relationship with Japan and they haven't had any of the post-war entanglements that the other two countries have had and as a result tourists from Taiwan has remained consistent while both China and South Korea have had periods of less than normal relations, kind of like squabbling siblings going back and forth over the years.

It seem, unfortunately, whether deserved or not or whether deliberate or not, Japan keeps saying things that seem to upset China and has at times also upset South Korea from time to time but these days South Korea and Japan seem to be going out of their way to make sure all things are normal as maybe they are looking at China as the main instigator in the Asia-Pacific region and both countries seem to be working together now on diplomatic and security issues.

But as mentioned above there were 2.06 million visitors from China that visited Japan, so there are still quite a few who want to go to Japan and spend their money.

It's quite possible that a decrease of 6.8 percent from a year earlier might be just enough to satisfy those in Japan who think and feel that over-tourism has overtaken Japan and some might want to see even less tourists.

The problem is the Japanese domestic economy is now heavily dependent on foreign tourism for spending as overall, consumer spending in the domestic economy is now where it should be due to the continued inflation situation.

As the Japanese yen is very weak now, which gives foreign tourists more purchasing power Japanese businesses should welcome foreign tourists with open arms as they spend a lot when they are in Japan despite, unfortunately, there are always going to be some who have poor manners in Japan like some tourists in all countries these days.

Have a nice day!

Article source:    https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260715/p2g/00m/0li/056000c

Japan Overseas Travel Situation: Updated July 16, 2026.

Japan's summer outbound travel to fall 9% on weak yen, 1st post-COVID drop

Ideas.

There are probably more than one reason why travel out of Japan is going to decrease during the summer holiday period than just the weak yen. The weak yen has been around for a very long time and Japanese households and consumers have had a lot of reasons not to travel, if they don't want to besides weak yen

The overall inflation situation has not been that good so the disposable income or money needed to save for an overseas trip has been eroding almost since the pandemic period and then add in all the global situations going on and it might deter some from traveling overseas.

And then there was the football/soccer world cup in the US and some or many Japanese might have traveled to Mexico and the US to see the Japanese national football play and some might have gone to Nashville TN to see them workout before the competition began.

Yes, the Obon holiday period this year might see less people traveling as maybe travel for this has peaked already with the Golden Week period and then the World Cup competition period about to end in a few days and people are exhausted not to mention the record high temperatures that are already hitting Japan, which might keep people inside or at least from traveling this summer.

And then there is the continued high cost of airline tickets and the Middle East situation and the so-called shortage of oil and gas is increasing airline tickets and unfortunately the summer holiday travel period is usually the most expensive time to travel.

It might be no surprise that travel could decrease more than 9 percent as it could get as high as over 12 percent the summer holiday period as people for the most part, are just exhausted and again add in the record high temperatures in Japan along with the continued inflation situation and the eroding of disposable incomes, and then of course the weak yen means even less purchasing power for Japanese consumers overseas.

Yes, shorter trips to South Korea and Taiwan are probably the most logical trips to take and both regions seem to be having a record number of tourists.

But, as some news outlets have recently reported hotel rooms in South Korea are all filled up and they just have enough room for all of the foreign travelers wanting to travel there.

And of course, unfortunately, the China situation is very sad and always the on again and off again situation with China just keeps making the news which means of course Japanese travelers are going to be very weary about traveling to Japan this summer.

Again, it very possible the projected record heat this summer, which some have suggested it already here, might deter traveling even more and a drop of 4.4 percent might be more than 7 or 8 percent this summer, but it still very possible domestic travelers are going to seek out cooler places to travel if the can go there and that's the key can they afford to go to the cooler regions of Japan this summer.

Of course the Tokyo region including Yokohama just south of Tokyo to might see an increase of domestic travelers but as some news has suggested there might not be enough hotel rooms this summer and foreign tourists too might be headed to the Tokyo area if not the Kyoto/Osaka area.

Yes, overall, in most countries there are polarization's related to traveling as some want to keep within a budget and take shorter trips and some want to splurge on expensive trips that they've been planning for a long time.

But most likely Japanese travelers, for the most part, are in the budget category as they are still mostly savers and not big spenders as maybe the big spender travelers are the wealthy and upper-income group in Japan who will splurge on a long holiday trip to Hawaii or even to Europe.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260712/p2g/00m/0bu/005000c

Japan June Wholesale Prices: Updated July 13, 2026.

Japan wholesale prices up 7.1% in June, fastest rise in over 3 years

Ideas

Up recently many Japanese companies were reluctant to increase prices as they felt customers were very important to their business and they felt an connection to customers and society to keep prices down somewhat.

But those days seems long gone, as profits margins become very think and companies can no longer absorb their costs and now they have no choice but to pass-on their costs to the next I the supply chain.

And yes, the Middle East situation is affecting numerous industries globally and for the most part, it looks like the effects will continue on for a long time.

It's easy to say companies should have always have had alternative sources but finding the needed or exact alternative sources at the right price can be a challenge for many companies who have limited resources and limited profit margins.

However, companies, for the most part, especially as Japan is a resource-poor country, should always try to have alternative sources these days as the global environment is just too volatile and is always changing and sometimes not in the favor of some industries or companies.

Yes, not just products directly related to crude oil but now consumer goods that might be made indirectly from oil type materials are now seeing prices increases as companies can no longer absorb the increase in raw material or finished material prices and have no choice but to pass-on their costs to the next in the supply chain including the final retail customer.

Unfortunately, these days, even some companies that might have products that have no direct link to the Middle East situation might use it or rationalize it that their products are being affected indirectly and also will increase the prices on their products, as a way to squeeze out more profits.

Of course packaging products are significantly being affected by the situation in the Middle East and to change packaging, which is a form or advertising, might be very difficult and it takes a lot of time to change to simple packaging or alternative forms or packaging.

The challenge might be customers who identify products with colorful packaging might not be able to find the products they want or need if they can't see the same packaging which maybe for the elderly or fixed income customers could be difficult for them.

Global prices, ever since the pandemic seem to be increasing monthly or even at least yearly as companies, now days, just seem to continue to increase prices to keep their shareholders happy with no regard for customers as it seems customers are now not important as companies only care about what their shareholders want or need.

The Bank of Japan, at least on the surface, does seem to care about society and the overall affect that increasing the key rate will have and are trying to keep the rate as low as possible so that the key rate side affects don't have that much of an affect on Japanese society and the economy.

Again, many companies in Japan, back in the day, used to be very reluctant to increase prices as customers, along with employees were considered important stakeholders for the company and increasing prices was sometimes seems as being disloyal to customers, but those days seem long gone as profit margins continue to decrease and companies are putting a lot of emphasis on keeping shareholders happy and not company employees and especially customers who no longer the most important component of their business.

Japan is resource-poor country which means it has to import much of what it needs and is subject always to global price fluctuations and the weak Japanese yen, which helps Japanese export companies hurts import prices and the overall Japanese domestic economy.

But its interesting that the Bank of Japan is very aware of this situation and seems, at this time, to be favoring Japanese export companies as exporters can get more yen or dollars for their products in overseas market, which significantly increase Japan's current account.

At the same time, as the Japanese yen, remains very weak and foreign tourist numbers keep increasing in Japan the BOJ is thinking that foreign tourists and the weak yen, which increase the purchasing power of foreign tourists, will be a significant boost to the Japanese economy and the BOJ doesn't really need to do anything about the weak yen at this time.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260710/p2g/00m/0bu/022000c

Japan May Current Account: Updated July 15, 2026.

Japan logs 3.97 tril. yen current account surplus in May on firm exports

Ideas

It seems as maybe Japan has finally overcome the US tariff situation with exporting more cars to the US again and finding its footing in the competitive semiconductor global market race, which in affect which seems to have diversified in export portfolio, which Japan needs to do to make sure its export portfolio doesn't just rely on cars and car parts.

At the same time, Japan needs to continue to increase it export portfolio as the global market can be very volatile at times and specific markets or regions are always up or down depending on the situations.

Yes, it seems Japan always seems to do something that makes China unhappy and whether they do it on purpose or not, it always seems to be there, even though maybe business people in both countries don't like it.

Unfortunately, Chinese tourists who used to visit Japan in large number have seemed to have decreased as some or many follow what the government asks or says and go to other countries for visits now such as Thailand, or South Korea, or Vietnam instead of Japan.

It must be noted that the weak Japanese yen seems to be driving most of the surplus as even Japanese overseas investments can see huge increases as the weak yen is favorable to exporters and those who invest in overseas markets too.

As such, its seems most likely the Bank of Japan has noticed this situation and, even though the weak Japanese yen is not the best option for the Japanese domestic economy, there are just too many positives and as such the BOJ is not going to disrupt the flow of money coming into the current account with a huge key interest rate increase in the future.

Yes both primary income and the overall goods trade benefit significantly from a weak yen and again, most likely, the BOJ is not going to do anything really significant to disrupt the flow in the current account.

However, as inflation continues on in Japan, the BOJ might increase the key rate slightly as a way to try and slow down inflation but not a huge increase in the rate that might have an affect on the weak Japanese yen which could cause the current account to decrease.

Japan is still a major export nation as its economy after the second world war was rebuilt based on exporting Japanese products globally.

Japan, it seems, has become a major player related to chip-related electronics and artificial intelligence technology maybe only being surpassed by Taiwan and South Korea.

And of course Japan is a resource-poor country and has to import much of what it needs and its subject to all of the situations globally which of course increases prices to the detriment of the Japanese domestic economy.

Even at 313,000 tourists from China is still a significant number of tourists and are still spending a lot of money and yen in Japan so its not a complete waste or crisis about that the current Japanese Prime Minister said even though it probably should never have happened.

Unfortunately, Japan is not very good at software that is used by other countries because to the US and as such no one really wants Japanese made software, if they make it in the first place, and as such as there are of course more foreign tourists entering Japan, spending a lot of many but less Japanese going overseas mainly due to the weak Japanese yen, which decreases the purchasing power or Japanese consumers overseas.

As suggested in other articles, Japanese are not going to travel overseas that much due to budget limitations, the weak yen, and of course maybe the increase in fuel costs by airlines and increased airline ticket prices.

And yes, there might have been a slight decrease in inbound or foreign tourists into Japan but Japan is still experiencing record tourism numbers and it might continue this summer.

And its been suggested, as a side note, that Japanese hotels and motels while almost at full capacity are experiencing a labor shortage as they can't find enough workers to work at the hotels and that might be related to the idea that hotels are a services sector industry which has very thin profit margins and can't afford to pay higher wages that many companies are now paying to get the best workers in Japan.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260708/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c

Japan Jan.-June Bankruptcies: Updated July 10, 2026.

Japan bankruptcies in Jan.-June top 5,000 for 1st time in 12 years

Ideas

It's unfortunate that there are so many bankruptcies in Japan now as inflation, and the labor shortage has forced many companies,, especially small companies, to leave the market.

You probably will not find many of the large name-brand companies filing for bankruptcy as they, for the most part always have a lot of resources, not to mention connections, to fall back  on.

Inflation along with the weak Japanese yen has increased import prices and as Japan is a resource-poor country has to depend a lot on imports which means prices for foreign raw materials are going to put a lot of pressure on many small and mid-sized companies which usually have very thin profit margins and really can't afford the higher import prices.

While there are positives and negatives for a government to intervene in a market economy, in this situation it might the right thing to do for the Japanese government to find ways to help these struggling companies as companies are made up of people and families and the pain for many of them might be too unbearable to handle.

Firms with fewer than 10 employees means, for the most part, means they have less resources and probably less connections in the market which means they probably have fewer choices to help them out of their current situation, as unfortunately, it can be a very sad and terrible situation for the 10 or few employees for those companies.

And yes, due to their thin profits margins, and the current labor shortage in Japan, many small companies just can't afford to match the wage increases of larger firms or even medium sized firms which means most likely many of the smaller firms lost employees and were unable to find replacements as they just couldn't afford again to pay the wages needed by many who were looking or needed a job.

The services sector traditionally has very thin profits margins and the reason the mostly hire part-time workers or contract workers and fewer full-time workers as their profits margins just can't handle a large number of regular full-time workers.

And restaurants and food retailers, being service companies, are perfect examples of companies that higher a lot of part-time workers or contract workers and also they just can't pass-on their increased costs to the final retail customer as customers will try to find other places to buy food.

And even more importantly, as inflation continues on in Japan, many consumers are cutting back and not eating out as much and maybe even limiting buy from delivery companies as the prices of food delivery as sky-rocketed in Japan recently.

Yes, almost every region in Japan has seen an increase in bankruptcies as no area is immune from the increase in prices or even the labor shortage affecting all regions.

Once again, it should seem like a good idea, for the good of society, for the Japanese government to try and intervene in some of these bankruptcies without causing too much harm to overall market dynamics. 

But, unfortunately companies entering a market and leaving a market are, some would say, just the normal workings of a market and governments, for the most part, should not interfere too much in it and let the market decide naturally who should be in the market and who should exit the market.

The only problem with that idea, even though its economically sound, is companies, especially small companies, are make up of families and people and bankruptcies can takes a significant toll on families and even communities.

Yes, even small mom and pop companies and companies which might only be a husband and wife, these days, can still feel the affects of what's going on in the global economy and no one in any country or region is immune as the global economy is so inter-connected that everyone can feel the affects of all situations globally.

Unfortunately, as inflation continues in Japan as profit margins are stretched to their limits, and as the supposed labor shortage continues on in Japan, and if the Japanese government can't find ways to be more like the Northern Europeans countries with their significant social networks that help society, Japan might continue to have more bankruptcies is the fuure.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260708/p2g/00m/0bu/026000c