Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Japan Real Wages in Feb. Updated April 9, 2026.

Japan's real wages rise for 2nd straight month in February with 1.9% growth

Ideas

Real wages in Japan seem to finally see some daylight after months or years being less that inflation and an increase of 1.9 percent, while not much, is a welcome increase for many Japanese households.

Japan has been hit by constant price increases as Japan is a resource-poor country and needs to import much of what it needs and is subject to the whims of global price increases. 

Wage increases, while good but not great, have also helped but companies need to do more its been suggested that many of the name-brand companies are sitting piles of cash which could be used to help with the daily lives of their employees in Japan.

Nominal wages really don't mean much as they give a false sense of an increase but in reality real wages, disposable income, and the purchasing power of Japanese consumers is what really matters in the economy and the daily lives of ordinary Japanese citizens.

If you ask the average Japanese consumer what are nominal wages and of course they probably won't know or even care as global consumers would probably say the same thing, as what really matters is the amount of disposable income they have and the purchasing they have each week and each month.

Yes, despite all of the news about nominal wages, real wages, inflation increases or decreases is good and needed by some in business and government but most consumers could care less about all the stats thrown around in the media, as what they care about is their purchasing power and again how much disposable income they have left on Friday or Saturday or at the end of the month.

While a 1.4 percent increase in consumers prices is maybe beginning to show a decreasing trend, it might still be too high for the most vulnerable in Japanese society as maybe it is still affecting the lower-income groups, the fixed income groups, and of course the single mother who has to take care of her two children and only a contract salary or wage with no real benefits.

Japan is not an isolated island country or economy as, like all countries these days, it is highly interconnected to the rest of the world and what happens in the Middle East easily affects Japan just like the situation in the Ukraine has significantly affected raw material supplies and prices from that region.

Yes, private consumption or consumer spending is estimated to be about half of Japan's gross domestic product, but in reality it might be a little less in actual spending as in recent years consumer spending in Japan just hasn't been enough to significantly help the Japanese economy grow that much as maybe it should be around 55 or even 60 percent of GDP to see any sustainable real growth each year.

The Bank of Japan or BOJ is watching very carefully what is happening in Japan and the Middle East with of course energy and oil prices as Japan has to import much if not all of its energy needs which could be factor in the BOJ's decision to increase rates or keep them where they are now.

And yes, again, the BOJ is watching the wage talk increases as it appears some or many companies have actually met the demand of their labor unions, but as usual, while the large-name brand companies are doing their part, it remains to be seen just what the small and mid-size companies are doing or what can they really do.

It is estimated that up to 70 percent of the Japanese work-force works for small and mid-size companies and not the large name-brand companies that get all the news.

Most if not all small and mid-size companies just don't have the needed resources to match what the large companies can do and such the wage increases by the smaller companies are never going to be as much as a large company wage increases.

While any wage increase is good and needed, what is really important is what does the average Japanese worker feel about their wage increase? Japanese households, Japanese consumers have to got feel good about the wage increases and they have to be able to see it in their disposable income and their purchasing power at the end of the month, and if they don't see it or feel it they are not going to spend enough to increase or help economic growth in the economy.

And of course again, using the phrase the "the least among us" what does it do for the dis-advantaged in Japanese society? Do the wage increases reach the lower-income groups, the fixed income groups, and again do the wage increases help the single mother on a limited contract able to take care of her two children with no real health or medical benefits.

Have a nice day!


Japan Feb. Current Account. Ideas later.

 

Japan logs current account surplus of 3.93 tril. yen in February

Article to be deleted after ideas.

Article:


TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan's current account surplus edged down 0.1 percent from the previous year to 3.93 trillion yen ($24.8 billion) in February, the Finance Ministry said Wednesday, as businesses increased imports from China before the Asian neighbor entered the Lunar New Year holidays.

    The latest data does not reflect the impact of the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran launched on Feb. 28. A ministry official noted that imports could fall in March as shipments of crude oil and petroleum products from the Middle East region have been disrupted by the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

    Primary income, including dividends and interest earnings from overseas investments, rose 11.6 percent from the previous year to 4.24 trillion yen, the ministry said in a preliminary report, as their values were inflated due to the weaker yen.

    Goods trade recorded a surplus of 267.6 billion yen, plunging 67.0 percent from the year before.

    Exports were up 2.8 percent to 9.37 trillion yen, while imports increased 9.7 percent to 9.10 trillion yen.

    The trade data showed front-loaded imports from China, where the Lunar New Year holidays started in mid-February this year, the official said, adding ship cargo takes around two to three weeks to arrive in Japan.

    The holiday, which slows down business activities in China and other countries celebrating it, started in late January last year.

    Among other key components, Japan's services trade deficit shrank 0.4 percent from the previous year to 284.5 billion yen, affected by an improvement in the travel surplus.

    A surplus in the travel balance means that spending by foreign visitors in Japan exceeds the amount spent by Japanese residents overseas.

    Although the number of Chinese travelers to Japan has declined amid persistent diplomatic tensions between the two countries, the level of inbound visitors from other countries and regions remained robust, the official said.

    The current account balance is one of the widest gauges of international trade.


    Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260408/p2g/00m/0bu/026000c

    Tuesday, April 7, 2026

    Japan Feb. Household Spending: Ideas Later.

     

    Japan Feb. household spending falls 1.8% on year on weak spending on food

    Article to be deleted after ideas.

    Article:

    TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan's household spending in February fell a real 1.8 percent from a year earlier, marking the third consecutive monthly drop, partly due to consumers cutting spending on food items affected by price rises, government data showed Tuesday.

      It marked the longest declining streak since November 2024, when spending dropped for four consecutive months, and came as higher oil prices stemming from the Iran war threaten to further reduce private consumption.

      Households of two or more people spent an average of 289,391 yen ($1,812) in the reporting month, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said.

      Spending on food, which accounts for around 30 percent of household expenditures, declined 0.5 percent, dragged down by sluggish seafood and seasoning products purchases, while transportation and communication expenditures fell 5.9 percent, reflecting tepid auto sales.

      In contrast, outlays on entertainment rose 10.8 percent, led by growth in overseas package travel, while spending on furniture and home appliances rose 1.9 percent, a ministry official said.

      "Given outlays grew on items such as furniture and entertainment, consumers appear to be selective" in what they want to spend on, the official said.

      Private consumption has been underpinned by real wages picking up and the pace of inflation such as food price increases slowing, Yuichiro Sato, economist at SMBC Nikko Securities, said.

      But "elevated crude oil prices from the Middle East crisis poses the downside risk to consumer spending," he said.

      The data is a key indicator of private consumption, which accounts for more than half of Japan's gross domestic product.

      The average monthly income of salaried households with at least two individuals increased 1.6 percent, adjusted for inflation, to 589,038 yen, according to the ministry.


      Article source:   https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260407/p2g/00m/0bu/017000c





      Monday, April 6, 2026

      BOJ View of Regional Economies: Ideas Later.

      BOJ retains view on all 9 regional economies, despite Middle East conflict

      Article to be deleted after ideas.

      Article:

      TOKYO (Kyodo) -- The Bank of Japan on Monday maintained its assessments for all of the country's nine regions despite noting that the Middle East conflict and surges in crude oil prices have led to rises in raw material and energy costs, stoking worries about the outlook.

        In the quarterly Sakura report, the central bank said that although some weakness was seen in places, all areas were either "recovering moderately," "picking up," or "picking up moderately" on the back of robust global demand for artificial intelligence-related products and services. The assessments were the same as those used in January.

        The report is among materials that the BOJ will scrutinize at its next policy-setting meeting later this month. Views are growing in the market that the bank could raise the key policy rate to address the risk of acceleration in inflation due to the rises in crude oil prices amid the weak yen.

        Citing views from a meeting of its regional branch managers earlier Monday, the central bank said the Middle East situation has led to adjustments in output by some businesses. It also noted worries about the reduced procurement of raw materials potentially hitting entire supply chains.

        On wage hikes, which the BOJ views as key to deciding whether to raise interest rates, the bank said that both large and small and medium-sized companies have shown intentions to offer high levels of pay hikes for the fiscal year starting April on par with the previous year to secure labor.

        The nine regions include the Tokyo area, Tokai where Toyota Motor Corp. is headquartered, and the Kinki region, which includes Osaka and Kyoto.

        The BOJ's Tankan survey for March also showed that confidence among big manufacturers had improved for the fourth straight quarter, even as concerns were raised about the impact of the Middle East situation going forward.

        The BOJ raised its key interest rate to a 30-year high of 0.75 percent in December and left it unchanged in March as it gauges the impact of the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran on Japan's economy and inflation.


        Article source: 

         https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260406/p2g/00m/0bu/027000c

        Tuesday, March 31, 2026

        Japan Feb. Industrial Output: Ideas Later.

        Japan industrial output in Feb. falls 2.1% on month on weak autos

        Article to be deleted after ideas.

        Article:

        TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan's industrial output in February fell 2.1 percent from the previous month, the first contraction in three months, dragged down by weak output in the motor vehicle sector, government data showed Tuesday, with the impact of the Iran conflict likely to be felt in the coming months.

          The decrease followed an upwardly revised expansion of 4.3 percent in January. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry maintained its basic assessment of industrial production from the month before, saying it "fluctuates indecisively."

          Output dropped in 12 of the 15 sectors, falling 3.6 percent in the motor vehicle sector after an 8.1 percent rise in the previous month, amid a decline in orders for small trucks and a decrease in production of car engines for overseas markets, a ministry official said.

          Reduced production of fabricated metals, including aluminum for industrial use, and of electronic parts and devices such as liquid crystal display panels contributed to the overall fall, while the iron, steel and nonferrous metals sector saw an expansion.

          According to a poll of manufacturers, output is expected to rise 3.8 percent in March and 3.3 percent in April, the ministry said.

          But the official cautioned that the survey, conducted in early March, may not have factored in the impact of the war against Iran launched by the United States and Israel on Feb. 28, which remains "highly unpredictable" and warrants "exceptional attention."

          The Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital energy waterway, have disrupted supplies of crude oil and petroleum products to Japan, with the chemical sector facing difficulties procuring naphtha, a liquid derived from crude oil that is used to produce ethylene, a raw material for plastics and synthetic fibers.

          Some automakers including Toyota Motor Corp. and Nissan Motor Co. are cutting domestic production of cars bound for Middle Eastern markets due to delayed shipments to the region in March, sources close to the matter said.

          The seasonally adjusted index of production at factories and mines stood at 102.3 against the 2020 base of 100, the ministry said in the preliminary report.

          In February, the index of industrial shipments dropped 1.6 percent to 100.5, while that of inventories edged up 0.3 percent to 98.1.

          Article source: https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260331/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c

          Japan Feb. Jobless Rate: Ideas Later.

          Japan's Feb. jobless rate falls to 2.6%, 1st drop in 7 months

          Article to be deleted after ideas.

          Article:

          TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Japan's unemployment rate in February fell to 2.6 percent from 2.7 percent the previous month, improving for the first time in seven months, partly reflecting people who had voluntarily left their jobs finding employment, government data showed Tuesday.

            The number of people with jobs edged up 0.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted 68.27 million, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said.

            Of those not employed, 430,000 were laid off, a 4.4 percent decrease from January. Meanwhile, 760,000 people voluntarily left their jobs, typically to seek better conditions, a 7.3 percent decrease.

            Those newly seeking jobs decreased 1.9 percent to 530,000, according to the ministry. A ministry official said, "The employment situation is not deteriorating."

            The job availability ratio edged up 0.01 point from January to 1.19, meaning there were 119 jobs available for every 100 job seekers, according to separate data.

            According to the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, new job openings in the wholesale and retail sector plunged 17.9 percent in February from a year earlier, while job offers in the lifestyle and entertainment services sector decreased by 17.0 percent.

            New job openings also fell 14.7 percent in accommodation and restaurant services, 9.5 percent in information and communications, and slid 6.5 percent in the education sector.

            While there has been no significant change in the trend, concerns have been growing over rising prices triggered by the Middle East crisis, with developments needing to be closely watched, a labor ministry official said.

            Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260331/p2g/00m/0bu/020000c

            Sunday, March 29, 2026

            Japan Prefectures and Foreigners: Ideas Later. Updated April 8, 2026.

             

            75% of Japan prefectures boosting programs for coexistence with foreigners


            Ideas

            Japan is in the midst of an epic labor shortage along with an ageing population and a dismal birth rate that is one of the lowest if not the lowest in the world.

            But unfortunately, whether good or not so good, for the most part, the powers to be in Japan seems to be tightening immigration and actually letting in less foreign workers into Japan now.

            And again, fortunately, the provinces in Japan see the real challenge the real problems and are trying to take steps to do what they can to foster cooperation among foreigners in the their communities and Japan residents.

            What is even less that good or whatever, the powers to be have suggested and are going to implement a new law or rule that dictates foreign professionals who want to work in Japan must have a level of Japanese at the N2 level, which is upper middle proficiency in order to get a work visa.

            Multicultural existence has been around for centuries in most or many countries but Japan, or some in Japan, don't want mutual existence or even any foreigners or less foreigner in Japan.

            It has been suggested that the powers to be, keep suggesting Japan is going to lose its unique culture if there are too many foreign residents in Japan. 

            You might ask the UK, with it many different ethnic groups if it has lost it unique ethnic culture or even ask the US, with its even more diverse population has it lost any of its culture, and the answer is no, each foreign ethnic group in the US has its own culture that has easily adapted in the US and with some challenges there should be no reason Japan can do the same in the future, if it hasn't already in many of the provinces.

            There are always going to be small pockets of resistance to foreigners in every country, but it seems recently the resistance in Japan has become more pronounced and the powers to be in the Japanese government have been swayed and have become alarmed that there might be too many foreigner in Japan.

            How about this example for the future or what might happen in the future if foreign tourists suddenly decide they don't want to visit Japan as Japan has become a place that doesn't welcome foreigners. Japan wants tourists to spend money but they don't want to them to stay or live their and many foreigners can feel it and it could potentially get worse over time.

            And then the foreign tourists are going to head to South Korea or even China for their vacation trips as those countries are more willing to accept foreign tourists and even more foreign residents in the future.

            Yes, the problem alone is not that Japanese residents don't feel good about foreigners but foreigners need to learn and understand Japan community rules and social norms as much as possible so that they can get along with their Japanese neighbors in the future.

            Yes, Japanese rules and customs can be hard to understand but foreigners should at least try to find ways to be a part of their community in Japan and try their best to follow community rules such as when to take out the trash, how to separate the trash on and which days are for which kind of trash.

            Again, unfortunately, social media has become a major outlet for negative comments, globally, against anything or anyone that some groups don't like, and Japan has had its share for a long time against some foreign groups in Japan.

            The Chinese and South Korean residents in Japan seem to get most of the negative comments as some niche groups in Japan feel they are superior to any foreign group and the residents of China and South Korea seem feel it the most.

            Yes increased opportunities for exchange needs to be very important but even more important, which governments can't dictate is the day to day exchanges ordinary Japanese residents might have with foreigners in their communities at the post office, at the supermarket, at the conbini, and at the schools. 

            Each group should make an effort to be polite to each other and try to reach out to the other side even if it's just a hello, thank you, or something like that to show they care about each other.

            And, not to blame Japanese residents but they should try to improve their English a little bit to be able to communicate just a little in English, and the same with foreign resident in Japan they should try to improve their Japanese communication skills as much as possible too.

            Yes multicultural existence is very important as there are many different ethic communities that exist side by side in the UK and in the US too and many other countries too, but unfortunately, Japan, or some groups in Japan, are not willing to accept that multicultural coexistence can actually take place in Japan, as again, there is this mindset in Japan, with some fringe groups, which seem to have infiltrated some in the Japanese government that multicultural coexistence is not possible in Japan, as the Japanese culture is superior to other cultures around the world.

            Again, some in Japan, especially some Japanese groups, who think 4 million is too many in Japan and the number should be reduced.

            The problem is, and the Japanese governments knows but because some groups have more control over the immigration situation in Japan, there is resistance to increase more foreigners into Japan.

            But Japan needs more legal foreign workers as they pay taxes which help with the pension system in Japan which helps ageing Japanese residents and they spend money in the Japanese economy which Japan desperately needs to help grow the economy.

            Its a complex situation and to be fair even the US and the UK and other countries are struggling with its own immigration issues but Japan's immigration situation seems to be unique and Japan really doesn't know what is good for itself and or how to really solve the problem.

            Have a nice day!