Wednesday, July 8, 2026

Japan May Current Account: Updated July 15, 2026.

Japan logs 3.97 tril. yen current account surplus in May on firm exports

Ideas

It seems as maybe Japan has finally overcome the US tariff situation with exporting more cars to the US again and finding its footing in the competitive semiconductor global market race, which in affect which seems to have diversified in export portfolio, which Japan needs to do to make sure its export portfolio doesn't just rely on cars and car parts.

At the same time, Japan needs to continue to increase it export portfolio as the global market can be very volatile at times and specific markets or regions are always up or down depending on the situations.

Yes, it seems Japan always seems to do something that makes China unhappy and whether they do it on purpose or not, it always seems to be there, even though maybe business people in both countries don't like it.

Unfortunately, Chinese tourists who used to visit Japan in large number have seemed to have decreased as some or many follow what the government asks or says and go to other countries for visits now such as Thailand, or South Korea, or Vietnam instead of Japan.

It must be noted that the weak Japanese yen seems to be driving most of the surplus as even Japanese overseas investments can see huge increases as the weak yen is favorable to exporters and those who invest in overseas markets too.

As such, its seems most likely the Bank of Japan has noticed this situation and, even though the weak Japanese yen is not the best option for the Japanese domestic economy, there are just too many positives and as such the BOJ is not going to disrupt the flow of money coming into the current account with a huge key interest rate increase in the future.

Yes both primary income and the overall goods trade benefit significantly from a weak yen and again, most likely, the BOJ is not going to do anything really significant to disrupt the flow in the current account.

However, as inflation continues on in Japan, the BOJ might increase the key rate slightly as a way to try and slow down inflation but not a huge increase in the rate that might have an affect on the weak Japanese yen which could cause the current account to decrease.

Japan is still a major export nation as its economy after the second world war was rebuilt based on exporting Japanese products globally.

Japan, it seems, has become a major player related to chip-related electronics and artificial intelligence technology maybe only being surpassed by Taiwan and South Korea.

And of course Japan is a resource-poor country and has to import much of what it needs and its subject to all of the situations globally which of course increases prices to the detriment of the Japanese domestic economy.

Even at 313,000 tourists from China is still a significant number of tourists and are still spending a lot of money and yen in Japan so its not a complete waste or crisis about that the current Japanese Prime Minister said even though it probably should never have happened.

Unfortunately, Japan is not very good at software that is used by other countries because to the US and as such no one really wants Japanese made software, if they make it in the first place, and as such as there are of course more foreign tourists entering Japan, spending a lot of many but less Japanese going overseas mainly due to the weak Japanese yen, which decreases the purchasing power or Japanese consumers overseas.

As suggested in other articles, Japanese are not going to travel overseas that much due to budget limitations, the weak yen, and of course maybe the increase in fuel costs by airlines and increased airline ticket prices.

And yes, there might have been a slight decrease in inbound or foreign tourists into Japan but Japan is still experiencing record tourism numbers and it might continue this summer.

And its been suggested, as a side note, that Japanese hotels and motels while almost at full capacity are experiencing a labor shortage as they can't find enough workers to work at the hotels and that might be related to the idea that hotels are a services sector industry which has very thin profit margins and can't afford to pay higher wages that many companies are now paying to get the best workers in Japan.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260708/p2g/00m/0bu/018000c

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