Friday, May 22, 2026

Japan Core Consumer Prices: Updated May 25, 2026.

Japan core consumer prices up 1.4% in April, slowed by free school lunches

Ideas

Japan's inflation situation has been around almost since the pandemic, and while it might be slowing some, its still a major challenge for Japanese consumers and households.

The free lunch program at public schools is good but should have been implemented many years ago like other advanced societies and countries have now.

Parents of school-age children are stressed to the core with just too many school fees and after school fees and many of them are single women with children and or only work on a limited contract with few or not other benefits.

Yes, there is the indication that inflation is beginning to subside ever so slightly but not enough for many Japanese households and is still having an affect on household incomes and disposable income, needed to extra everyday activities.

Its been a long  4 years, since March of 2022, and many Japanese families or households have had to cut back on many things including maybe taking trips domestically and or taking trips overseas that used to be routine event for many families.

While a 1.9 percent increase doesn't sound like that much of an increase, but even those on limited or fixed incomes might feel the price increase related to some products they might buy.

The Japanese government has been trying to reduce the stress on households with the subsidies, but the concern might be what about energy suppliers and wholesalers and their subsidies if they are getting any all all.

Which brings up ideas that companies, importers, suppliers and wholesalers are like households too and have to watch their profits margins carefully and they too, depending on which side of the equation you are on, have to increase prices as needed to cover their costs related to increase labor costs, increase energy costs, and increased raw material costs.

Its good that Japanese wholesalers are getting some relief from the increase in prices from the Middle East but eventually someone has to pay for the continued increase in subsidies that the Japanese government has been offering almost since the pandemic period and it might mean the government debt will continue to increase as Japan, if not the highest has one of the highest Debt to GDP ratios among advanced countries.

Even though prices for food, decelerated from 5.2 to 4.1, its still too high as maybe many households in Japan might notice the continued increase in food prices and for sure those on limited incomes, such as contract workers, part-time workers, fixed income groups and single women with children are probably seeing their disposable income reduced even at 4.1 percent.

Yes, there might not be any clear signs yet, as some metrics are more like lagging indicators and might show up much later in the data, and there is always the possibility that companies related to anything in the Middle East might be delaying increasing their costs and at the present time maybe trying to absorb the costs for now.

Of course collecting data from companies, suppliers, importers, and wholesalers is not easy and sometimes doesn't come in time, which means there might be lagging data or late data that can be then be added to see a better picture of what is going on.

The Bank of Japan is a very conservative group and doesn't just increase or decrease the rate on a whim as they take a long time to look at what is going on and then decide, if anything, to do something as for the most part, they don't want to harm the economy and or cause harm to the financial markets in Japan and globally.

A decrease of 0.5 percent might not seem like that much but it might mean the purchasing power of Japanese households has decreased and again the lower-income groups might feel it more than the upper-income groups who might not even notice a 0.5 percent drop in real wages.

Nominal wages, while they might look good and feel good, are not the real picture in an economy as they also include inflation while real wages show the true picture about what is really going on in a economy and real wages help to show an increase or decrease in purchasing power and the disposable incomes of Japanese households.

An increase of 3.0 percent in consumers prices is still a significant increase in prices for most households in Japan except for maybe the upper-income groups as for sure is felt among, again, the middle-income groups, the lower income groups, the fixed income groups, and of course those on limited work contracts and or sure singe working women with children.

Have a nice day!

Article source:  https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20260522/p2g/00m/0bu/016000c


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