Thursday, January 30, 2020

Japan Economy News:

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200131/p2g/00m/0bu/048000c


https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/japan-december-factory-output-rises-235538964.html


Ideas:

Whichever article you read you see both some positives and some negatives. Actually, as is common in many articles about similar topics, you might see differing ideas.

Economies are very complex, with many different sets of variables in play at any one time. An economy is made up of many different sectors and industries.  It must be noted there will always be positives and negatives in any economy at any one time.

There will never be all positive and all negative related to all the industries and sectors in an economy.

There might be a select group of sectors that someone has decided is more important than others, but even then, there will be positives and negatives.

It is important to note that an economy is organic, in that it is always in a state of motion, always moving toward positive or moving toward negative and never idle, there is always movement, one way or another.

Its also important to see the big picture and not rely too much, or think too much on quarter to quarter, because of the idea of an economy is always changing, always moving.

The quarter to quarter ideas, are more related to what stockholders are looking for. They want instant results never seeing the big picture. They want what they want today.

Economies always change, they are never linear up or down.

The same with the ideas  of what we see in the articles. Industrial output for example, can always change depending on domestic factors and external or global factors.

The same with consumer spending in Japan. Consumer spending has always been a concern, especially with the Bank of Japan and the Inflation target of 2%.

Consumer spending maybe is as much as 60% of the Japanese economy.

But because the Japanese economy is the 3rd largest economy in the world, even if consumer spending is never what the BOJ wants, there is still a lot of consumer spending taking place.

Most likely no central bank is happy with its own county's consumer spending, always wanting more.

So to finalize, economic news can always have positives and negatives but the big picture should always be seen as an economy is always going to have some positives and some negatives at any one time.

The idea again is to focus on the big picture and the long term, not just the negative of the short term.

© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Japan Economy News:

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200131/p2g/00m/0bu/050000c


Commentary: The Japanese job market continues to be good news, with 157 jobs for every 100 job seekers. But what isn't mentioned is what kind of jobs? Are these good quality career type jobs, or are they underemployed type jobs or low skilled type jobs.  Hopefully they are good quality career type jobs for new graduates.

At the same time more women are entering the workforce and older workers too are continuing to find jobs. I feel any society that discounts the experience, skills, talent, and just simple willingness to work, are not using is human resources correctly.

Japan claims to have a labor shortage. The obvious possibilities are; immigration, more use of women in the workplace, and better work/life opportunities, and using older workers, fairly and correctly in industries and sectors that need workers, if at all possible. Salaries for older workers maybe can be topped off, if needed, since mostly they just want to work. That way companies are not burdened with the seniority system of increased wages for older workers. Everyone wins.

Also the Japanese government has suggested companies should raise its "retirement age" to 70. I think, if there are that many jobs available there should not be a mandatory retirement age. Let workers work as long as they want, like in the US, if they can perform the job. Why not use the talent and experience that is available.

Maybe salaries can be adjusted or topped off at say 60/65 and not rise any more, but the worker keeps working, and he/she is a valuable part of the company.

Japan's workers want to work and they are healthy. Why shouldn't they?


© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Global Management Thnking: Even in Japan?

What qualities do global managers need even in Japan?

A brief review from The Cultural Dimension of International Business might include;

1. Broad perspective: the global manager needs to develop the broadest possible perspective.

2. Appreciate other perspectives; Being able to understand the perspectives of others beyond just your own.

3. Cognitive complexity: Being able to differentiate and integrate different ideas and perspectives.

4. Cognitive flexibility: The need to be curious, non-judgmental and open to new ways of thinking.

5. Personal autonomy: Understanding other ideas without losing your own identity.

6. Perceptual acuity: Able to derive value from all cultures and subcultures.

7. Emotional resilience: Must be able handle challenges as they occur in different global settings.

8. Balance contradictions: Being able to understand and balance different needs and demands as they occur.

9. Willingness to make risky decisions: A global leader at times must take risks that are not easy.

10. Global network: Global leaders need to emphasize cultural awareness and cross-cultural teamwork.

Commentary:

This list is just some ideas that global leaders, anywhere may need. Most managers or global managers probably have ideas or skills already and or they subconsciously use them and don't even know it

Global business, global management, these days, is not just about being in an overseas position.  Because of advancements in technology and logistics, managers, even in domestic positions, might have to communicate, in one way or another, with global customers, partners, and global/foreign employees overseas.

A manager may never be posted overseas but still need to understand and communicate with global customers, suppliers, logistics stakeholders and so on.

As such it is imperative that managers understand the global environment where ever they are, including the global economy, and what is happening in the global economy, and what if any what affect does it have on their companies position in the global economy.

Managers etc. do not need to be economists to understand what is going on around them. They don't need to have a degree in economics. But they should be able to assess and understand the practical  forces and variables related what is happening and be able to take appropriate action as needed.

Reference:  Ferraro, G.P. (2006). The cultural dimension of international business (5th ed.). Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Education.

© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

More Japan Virus News:

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200124/p2g/00m/0bu/071000c

Japan has always been a country that is concerned with safety and this situation is no different.

Business, retail and such are on full alert. There will be no shortage of new programs, governments announcements, businesses reminding consumers to follow safety procedure.

At the same time,  even though there have only been a few cases so far, maybe two in Japan and four coming back from Wuhan, Japan has to be very careful not to cause a consumer panic in related to retail or other business places that consumers/shoppers go just to be safe.

Yes always take precaution, but how much is needed. I guess, too much is better than too little in terms of precaution, but, as the situation is watched carefully, and no more cases in-country arise, Japan has to be very cautious not to cause a country wide panic that greatly reduces consumer spending.

I would imagine, even now, there are tourist type places in Japan, Kyoto, Osaka, Tokyo, Yokohama etc. that might be feeling the affect of Japanese consumers beginning to think twice about going to places where there might be a lot of well, tourists from China, such as in Yokohama and its China town area.

The Japan government has always been proactive, at least most of the time, so I expect, even now, in Tokyo and Osaka etc. the government is working on contingency plans, campaigns and strategies to prevent any problems and situations that may arise.

The same with businesses where a lot of tourist may visit. There has to be plans and strategies developed to prevent any situation that may arise.

Again however, the government has to make sure there is no full-blown panic that might cause harm to the economy, as consumer spending in Japan is always a major challenge.


© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

More Bank of Japan News:

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/boj-releases-decade-old-inflation-025643569.html

Kuroda and the Bank of Japan, since 2013, set on the noble and understandable path of targeting an inflation rate of 2%. However, as of now, the target rate has not be reached. Kuroda has mentioned that maybe it was not the best idea to continually focus on consumer spending, or try to increase consumer spending.

Inflation might be related to increases in rising supply costs of products or it might be related to increases in demand of consumers. Inflation can increase due to rising prices in both areas.

I have watched the Japan economy since the 1990's. The Japanese economy, seems, for whatever reason, to be a very unique case, in that it doesn't seem to operate like other economies, again for whatever reason.

Some would say the 1990's was a "lost decade", meaning either low economic growth or no economic growth. However, if we look at the data, statistics, we would probably see the Japanese economy grew in the 1% range through much of the 1990's.

The problem is/was, the economy didn't grow like the 1980's with maybe uncontrolled growth due to out of control asset inflation prices, when Japan businesses were buying everything in site in Tokyo and around the world.

When the asset bubble burst, it set in motion low economic growth, very much different from the 1980's. Japan at the time was unable to cope with the "low growth" that became the fixture of the 1990's.

Perhaps, and this can be debated, Japan grew too fast, in that, now it could not bring about the resources needed to reach the same growth rate at the 80's.

Perhaps, also, Japan had reached, maybe too fast, the status of a mature economy, which means 2 to 3%+ growth every year, was not going to happen again except for a quarter here or there.

Consistent 3% economic growth for Japan, maybe will never happen again.

Back to the idea of the 2% inflation rate. Perhaps Kuroda and the BOJ, has focused too much on the inflation rate.

Intuitively, it seems like, its not going to happen. Japan is a very stable economy. As the 3rd largest economy in the world, it is still have very large economy, which means there is still a lot of economic activity.

The idea that Japan is in trouble doesn't reach a 2% level ever, maybe is not exactly a good idea.

The economy is still moving forward, it is still growing.

Maybe a low growth rate is the "new normal" or the "new norm" now for Japan, and the BOJ should focus on maintaining economic growth and not focus too much on inflation.

Consumer demand, consumer spending in Japan has always been a challenge even though it might be 60/70% of the economy.

Consumer spending seems to be adequate to maintain a "new normal" economic growth for now.

Continuing to target inflation and continuing to target or increase consumer spending may be fruitless in the "new normal" economic growth period that Japan is in now.

Again, the Japanese economy is a very stable economy has settled into a new norm of about 1% every year for economic growth.

Maybe the Bank of Japan should focus on other areas instead of trying fruitlessly to target an inflation rate that might never happen.


© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Starbucks in China: Not Japanese News

https://www.bbc.com/news/business-51276317

Sumo: What a Story!

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-51283431

What a wonderful story. A sumo wrestler, with a ranking below all the other wrestlers wins the tournament. There are six tournaments each year; Jan. March, May, July, Sept, and Nov. Along with a lot of exhibition and regional tournaments. Hollywood, or whomever, never could have written such a wonderful story of the lowest ranked wrestler in the tournament winning. It should be noted the two highest ranked wrestlers withdrew with injuries, but that doesn't discount the other 30+ wrestlers sill left in the tournament, in the higher ranked divisions, who always had a chance to win and ranked above the eventual winner.

Sumo wrestlers in public, at least, are expected to be stoic, or emotionless, but seeing this wrestler begin to cry immediately after he won, goes to show even sumo wrestlers are human and are under tremendous pressure to perform/win.

If they lose more than they win in each tournament they can potentially be demoted, which I assume less income too. There are 15 matches for each tournament that starts on a Sunday and goes for 15 straight days. Most matches might last a minute or a little longer but the wrestlers are under extreme pressure and the physical force of two 300 pound men hitting each other at full force can take its toll on the body. So a record of 8 wins and 7 losses is the standard, the minimum standard they try to get each tournament.

The tournament is shown on NHK TV every afternoon during the 15 day tournament. Since there are both junior and senior level divisions, the junior level divisions, might also be shown beginning at 3PM  each day. In the Basho, or stadium, the crowds for the junior division are almost non-existent, or so it seems. But as it gets close to 4PM, you can see more and more of the Basho being filled up.

Around 3:45 or so, the senior division wrestlers will enter in two groups,  called east group and west group and will separately enter the ring area, and each of their names will be called. They will do a ceremonial routine and then leave the ring and then the other group comes in and does the same thing.

Then one of the highest ranked wrestlers will come in and do a ceremonial routine, and then the senior division part of the tournament begins. Wrestlers then wrestle, for the most part, according to their division ranking and their tournament record for that tournament.

After 5PM is when you see the highest ranked wrestlers of the senior division and the highest ranked wrestlers with the best record for the tournament.

So each day the order of when the wrestlers will wrestle the next day is re-set, except for the highest ranked wrestlers called Yokozuna, who always wrestle around 5:45 regardless of their record, but most always have a wining record in the tournament.

Since I have Japanese TV on my notebook computers and tablets, I often watch the sumo tournament just to see what is going on. I'm not that interested in it as sport but more related to Japanese society.

I also watch Japanese TV every night and every morning, hopefully to improve my Japanese listening skills.

© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved





More Japanese Economy and Virus News

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/japan-warns-risks-economy-china-034658685.html


I think the biggest worry now, or so it seems, is the Japanese govt. and the Tokyo Olympic committee maybe are beginning to think how is this going to affect the Tokyo Olympics in six or seven months.

How long will this go on is a question mark right now. How long before some kind of vaccine can be developed to remedy or slow down the virus. With the Olympics six or seven months away, I'm sure Japan is very worried right now about how this is going to play out.

Yes it looks like Japan and South Korea, both in close proximity, are going to feel the most affect, with the loss of tourists, and if both have manufacturing facilities and business in the region of the virus area, might be hit hard, with other multinational companies in the same region. No one is going to be excluded from the hit.

Both countries have already been pulling their expats out of the region, as are other countries too.

Then there is the question about how is this in the short-term and the long-term going to affect China if its health, prevention, and emergency standards are not up to global standards going to have on its overall economy in the future.

Barring a complete lockdown of no Chinese leaving the country, Chinese needs to, along with the global community, come up with some quick measure to remedy this situation.

I think by now China realizes it has to be completely transparent, or at least we hope so, for the good of everyone in China and the wider global community.

Japan needs to be very careful and navigate through this crisis. It needs to be very careful not to blame every Chinese tourist that come to Japan, as potential problems. Yes be vigilant, yes have prevention situations setup at airports etc.

But once this crisis is finally resolve, and every thing gets back to normal, hopefully before the Tokyo 2020 Olympics, the Chinese tourism market will return. The Chinese tourists will, not like everyone else, will want to come to Tokyo to see the Olympics and Tokyo.

Japan must not show any reason for tourists not to come back to Japan. They must show that the Chinese tourists area just a welcome as are the European Union tourists area.

No country can deny the huge middle class in China now that is willing to spend its money, and Chinese tourists have shown they are more than willing to spend a lot in Japan.

Japan again, must not show any reason for them not to come. Japan needs the huge Chinese middle class and their ability to spend in Japan, especially as we get closer to the Olympics.



© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Monday, January 27, 2020

Japanese Convenience Stores

https://the-japan-news.com/news/article/0006305740?fp=b4e7698b6e970f5df732f1adbce429f4


https://the-japan-news.com/news/article/0006315996

This situation also is happening now in South Korea. Actually it started about 2 years ago, when the new minimum wage laws went into affect.

At the time, many of the stores, restaurants and such, were not prepared for the new wage laws.

As such, while the law (s) were meant to give part-time workers somewhat of a living wages, the opposite actually happened, as small businesses and such began laying off workers, including brand name places too.

Some places have begun to move toward automation, ordering machines, for example in fast food places to reduce costs.

There were always a tension between the part-time workers and those who use them in their labor, but this situation made it even worse.

Like Japan, it seems many young workers don't want to work in convenience stores, or even restaurants etc.

While technology can be good, there is always a positive and negative side to it.

Some jobs will be changed, restructured, some will be eliminated, and some will be added as most economies are now headed into the 4th industrial revolution, where technology is involved in many things in society and the economy.

I think of a Japanese convenience store as a current lifestyle place in Japan now. Yes its changing and maybe customers don't see the need for 24 hour operations, but the idea that the Japanese convenience store is going away is not going to happen.

It might re-tool or become more innovative to fit the needs of society in Japan, but it still very much an important everyday stop for consumers in Japan.

There is no other convenience store model in the world compared to the Japanese convenience store model.

The Japanese convenience store model is going through changes now. Companies need to understand and embrace the innovation that is needed to meet the needs of customers in the future.

It has been said that Japan is slow to change. But once Japan decides to change it moves fast. The same will probably happen with Japanese convenience stores.

What I hope will not happened, although there are pilot experiments going on now in some Japanese convenience stores is complete automation of check-outs or no workers in the stores.

Personalized customer service, even at convenience stores in Japan, is important, because Japan has been and hopefully will continue to be customer service oriented society, as it has done very well in the past, and hopefully into the future, as Japan knows and realizes customer service is the heart of any successful business.



© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved



Japanese Retailers and Chinese Shoppers. The same in Korea too!

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/japan-retailers-hit-virus-home-065207677.html

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200127/p2a/00m/0na/029000c


The dependence on Chinese tourists/shoppers is also big in Korea. A few years back, Korea had some challenges related to some political situations and the Chinese tourist market in South Korea, basically bottomed out. It has been coming back, but now with the virus situation, it too, like Japan is having new challenges.

Tourism in Japan has been very good the past five years. And of course the Japanese govt. recognized the value of tourism for an economy and created more tourism friendly visa situations.

As usual, and expected, in South Korea and Japan, businesses in both countries became dependent on tourism to increase their businesses.

What happened in South Korea, maybe 5 years ago, many of the companies that were created to cater to Chinese tourists went out of business because of the rapid decline in tourists.

There was an increase recently in Chinese tourism returning to South Korea, but now with the new virus situation it might decrease again.

South Korea has attempted to expand its tourism base to other countries in Asia, with much success, but China is still/was the largest group of tourists.

The same can be said for Japan. China as always been the largest tourism group, as its normal for businesses to be created or expanded or focused on the large tourism base.

Time will tell how much the virus situation actually affects both South Korea and Japan and their tourism industries.

Japan of course has to worry about and focus on Tokyo 2020 coming up in the near future.


© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Economics As A Social Science

Economics is a so-called social science in that it involves people and not just numbers and statistics. However, these days, economics, maybe to show that, as an academic discipline, it has become a math, calculus, formulized discipline, like maybe Physics to show how important it is. Math and formulas etc. are important. But I feel economics may have lost its way in that it has forgotten it is a social science, people is still the heart of economics.

The same maybe can be said for business. As Drucker has stated, management is a liberal art, and as such deals with people and not just numbers

An economy or society is a very complex system that can't be rationalized just by economic formulas, even if the formula is trying to describe one small part of an economy, its still about people and behavior, desires, wants, needs, and expectations, which often can be irrational and very difficult to measure or even describe.

It has been said economics is an observation science as laboratory experiments are not easily done on the economy and such. Of course better computer simulations, big data, and AI are moving in that direction, but at the same time human behavior, which is at the heart of any society, can't maybe never will be completely explained by a formula or computer as the variables involved, genes, background, present anxiety, brain/cognitive behaviors, expectations, which can change in an instant, and a host of thousands of other variables, are almost impossible to pinpoint exactly which variable has what affect on human behavior etc.

Yes different parts of a economy and society, because of their complexity, should be studied, observed, and examined individually and but also in their interactions with other parts of the society and the economy.

All economics can really do is observe and try their best to describe what is happening and why, realizing that their is no perfect experiment to really identify this situation.

Economics is an imperfect social science because, for the most part, it deals with human behavior, and there is not a better example than to see what is happening today in the world, that human behavior is completely unpredictable.

Societies are about people and the study of a society, economy, and people, can't be put into one simple formula. There is too much complexity involved.

Even economics needs the humanities and the liberal arts to help explain what might be happening at any one time.

Finally, I always felt, for the most part, Japan as a country and society has not forgotten that people are a resource and not just a commodity to be used and thrown away.

Yes Japan, unfortunately has become somewhat westernized it is business approach, but I hope Japan does not lose its sense of identity that people are what matters in an economy and society.

As I like to survey Japanese universities, I have noticed that most if not all Japanese universities have economic departments. It seems economics is a major field of study in Japan, if not the largest department in many Japanese universities. I hope Japanese university economic departments see the need to also include human behavior as an important study, with integration of the liberal arts and humanities in their observations along with numbers and formulas.



© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Drucker, Business, Economics, Humanities, and the Liberal Arts

The trend these days seems to be that many, or some universities are moving away from the humanities and the liberal arts to areas where there is demand for jobs. This might be considered a sound move, to restructure, to provide more resources into areas where there is more demand for jobs.

The areas of course being either eliminated and or reduced are the liberal arts and humanities areas, as maybe there are less students who want to major in those areas and they want either information technology type jobs, business type jobs, or engineering type jobs.

The problem with this thinking is that students and universities underestimate the need for the liberal arts and the humanities in each of the above areas.

Perhaps there are many in the academy, who know and understand the need for the liberal arts and the humanities but cost pressures have forced them to takes actions that have reduced the LA and humanities.

Peter Drucker is an example of a management thinker and professor who always thought of management as a liberal art.

Drucker never ceased to consider the liberal arts to be the heart and soul of the managerial process.

He always thought without the liberal arts, management would degenerate into a bloodless and inanimate object.

Source: John E. Flaherty (19919). Peter Drucker: Shaping the managerial mind. San Francisco: John Wiley and Sons.

Perhaps the 2008 global financial crisis, which of course started in the US is the exact outcome of business and industry that loses its way in society and puts profit above everything else.

Steve Jobs and Apple and the iPhone are another example that we can relate  to engineering and technology.

Jobs, when he introduced the iPhone mentioned how the humanities and the liberal arts always shaped his thinking in the products he created.

How many companies, or even engineers these days think of the liberal arts and the humanities when they create new products or service for the good of society or their customers or potential future customers?

How many companies these days think of the liberal arts and the humanities when they think of their workforce? Is the workforce just a number a commodity to be used and deleted when the usefulness of the employee has worn out or do they think of the workforce as a asset and stakeholder in the company where there is synergy between the workforce and management for the good of the company and the good of society.

In conclusion, companies are about people, people is about society. Companies can not afford to forget the idea that the humanities and the liberal arts are just as important to a business as are numbers.


© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Blog: A Work in Progress: A Brainstorming of Ideas

Update: There are many articles that are posted but have no ideas yet. The plan is to update each article with ideas as soon as possible.

In the process of re-formatting blogs in 2020, 2021, and 2022. 

The blogs and writing:

The blogs are not a competition against any other writers or blogs. Its just ideas and observations related to Japan. Some about business, some about the economy, and some about Japanese society.

The main focus of the blogs are Japanese business and economic situations. 

Observations are the focus of my writing as I don't use math formulas but use stats and graphs as needed to enhance the topics., as they are just tools for helping with the ideas.

Just the brainstorming of ideas, but at the same time, I always try to find the positive side of any article and not just criticize an article.  

The blogs might be considered commentary, which is providing possible explanations related to the business or economic situations in Japan and globally.

Writing is thinking, and many times, I am not sure exactly what I want to say until I start writing about a topic related to Japan. To write is to know. To write is to think and understand what you know or don't know.. As I start to write then the ideas begin to present themselves. 

The blogs are not meant to confirm or refute any theories. The writing in the blogs are just the brainstorming of ideas related to the topics. As such the ideas presented might not fit into any current business or economic theories.

As with the late management professor, Peter Drucker, I write for a wider audience and not for an academic audience, as I hope my writings can help those in society and business.

The blogs are always a work in progress; meaning they are always being changed and updated as new ideas come about, revisions of ideas etc. Existing posts or blogs are always being reviewed and rewritten as needed. And yes, mistakes and errors are always being corrected and changed as needed. 

 William Zinsser, a famous journalist and nonfiction writer, said re-writing is always the focus of a writer. As such the blog is always a work in progress, always being re-written to fit the right context or feel of the topic.

Zinsser, William. (2006).On Writing Well. The classic guide to writing nonfiction. New York: Harper Collins.

Other references:

Baumhol, Bernard (2008). (2nd ed.). The secrets of economic indicators. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Wharton School Publishing, 

Beatty, J. (1998). The world according to Drucker. The world's greatest management thinker: London, Orion Books.

The Economist. (6th ed). (2006). Guide to economic indicators. New York: Bloomberg Press.

https://www.jetro.go.jp/en/reports/statistics/


And Japan:

I've been traveling to the Tokyo/Yokohama area of Japan every year for the past 25+ years. Mostly the Tokyo area. Some people call me 横浜の男です。

I can confirm, through my Korean partner, who lives and works in Japan, and Japanese friends, my time traveling and visiting Japan.

I no longer feel like a tourist when I travel to Japan. I lost the tourist feeling many years ago.

For example, before the pandemic, I had traveled to Japan two or three times a year. As such the places I would stay at and visit or go to remembered me and thought I actually lived in Japan. 

And I try to use only Japanese or as much as possible when in Japan.

I hope someday to begin to write some blogs in Japanese. 

Education: PhD, International Business. 

Have a nice day and be safe out there!

© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

I love Yokohama

https://www.facebook.com/groups/hamalove/?fref=nf

Yes, The BOJ Strategies Have Not Worked Exactly As Planned. Economies Are Too Complex These Days.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/majority-bojs-negative-rate-policy-051420818.html


Modern global economies, which Japan certainly is, do not, these days, respond to economic measures to improve the economy as before. Global economies have become much more complex than they were twenty or thirty years ago, or even ten years ago. The global economy has become much more interconnected, whether some like it or not, which possibly means to tried and true measures of central banks, don't always work in todays' global economic sphere.

The BOJ of course has been trying for years to stimulate inflation, to be more money moving through the economy for more economic activity, which usually means more demand for products and services. Perhaps it is time to rethink either the tools that central banks use to help and economy or accept the idea that the economy has reached a new paradigm shift and the idea of low inflation, might not be low inflation at all but the new normal for a mature but still growing economy.

Japan is a relatively very strong economy with strong economic fundamentals, with a stable government, and with still a large domestic population base.

Yes, as with every country, there are challenges to try and overcome. Maybe the BOJ will continue to work on the so-called low inflation, when in reality, just an idea, might not be major economic problem. Maybe its just what is normal now in Japan, and the BOJ and the government might need focus their resources on other more pressing issues at hand. Of course high debt to GPD, the low birthrate, the ever expanding aged society, and possible the need for more skilled immigrant labor, if there is a so-called labor shortage in Japan.

As with any country, no country is perfect the BOJ and the government can focus on many areas to improve society and the economy.

© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

And Some Korean Economy Observations: To be related to the Japanese Economy.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/korean-economy-grows-fastest-quarterly-231443057.html

In 2017 the Korean economy grew 3.1%. In 2018 the Korean economy grew 2.7%, but in 2019, the economy, using the word only, only grew 2.0%.

Much of the decline might be contributed to the decline in demand for semiconductor chips, which is by far Korea's largest export product. An ever more, some have estimated that exports might be as high as 50% of Korea's GDP. Korea is highly dependent on global trade. When it is rising Korea's exports are rising. When it is decreasing Korea's exports are decreasing.

Some would say Korea needs a more balance economy, where exports and the domestic economy are somewhat equal, and or where consumer demand can take up the slack if exports decrease.  Because Korea is a small geographic region, the idea of consumer demand being strong enough has always been debated. The largest companies in Korea have long outgrown the domestic economy with most of the business of the largest companies being outside of the country.

Another major issue, is that there just aren't enough of the so-called good jobs, at the large companies to meet the needs of Korean university graduates. As such the jobless rate of university graduates in Korea, is among the highest in the OECD.

However, as I have often talked about in the economics classes I teach, just because economic growth is only 2.0% doesn't mean all is bad in the economy. Yes everyone would like to see a higher economic growth, but an economy is very complicated with many different sectors involved. A GDP of 2.0% is still good compared to many other economies. Most EU countries barely reach 1.0% these days.

How does this relate to Japan?

In the 1990's I became very interested in the Japanese economy. Some were calling the 90's Japan's "lost decade" because of its low economic growth compared to the 80's. If we look at the research and the numbers, we can see there was still economic growth in the 90s of around 1.0% for the decade. When you add in that Japan, at the time, was the second largest economy in the world, that is/was still a lot of economic activity.

Japan used to be a long term growth and not just one quarter projections, but growth for the future, not just investor mandated growth expectations.

Even in the 2000's Japan has remained at the 1.0 to 1.5% level range for economic growth.

I often observe and see, Japan's economy is still one of the most stable economies in the world, despite the media hype about investors wanting higher growth, the BOJ wanting higher inflation and so on.

I think the problem is investors, companies, stock market watchers, get too used to thinking they always have to have a linear progression or upward GDP economic growth. We lose sight of the idea that there is still a lot of economic activity taking place. Yes maybe not what is wanted or expected but the economy is still growing and the economy is still moving.

This is not to say, there should not be more economic growth, but that the idea of so-called modest economic growth should not be looked at as economic failure of an economy or society.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

New Ideas and Innovation in Japan?

https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20200113-the-rise-of-japans-super-solo-culture


This is a trend, even in Korea, these days, as there are articles, about singles and those who are tired of society and the group culture, and what people think about them.

Japan has always been a country of innovation. It might not seem that way, as some would think, Japan is a country that moves too slowly or a country that doesn't value creativity and innovation.

But if you look closely, like any country, there is a lot of innovation and creativity taking place. Its sometimes not that evident in a group oriented culture.

Japan used to be a country of innovation related to many kinds of products, and it still is. But now it seems Japan is innovating, somewhat its group oriented culture. As a result we see examples of many kinds of products and services related to singles and individuals, not just group situations.

Japan has already, for a very long time, innovated towards more singles and individuals, with its innovation in the convenience store industry and in the supermarkets and stores that focus on providing products and services for people on the go.

But now its seems even more pronounced with business providing places for individuals and singles to live, work, study, relax etc. which might have been in existence five or so years ago.

Japan has always innovated and this is just another example.

We see the same thing happening in South Korea. too, as more and more businesses are beginning to focus on individuals and singles and not just families or groups. Both countries are showing innovation towards individuals as a larger consumer group.

In Japan and South Korea, the work/like situations are changing. Mindsets are changing. For some or many, the 12 hour work days are not desirable. They want more out of life. They saw their parents work and strive, and they might say "for what?"

Yes money is always important, but beyond that, some are beginning to see there is a life beyond the 12 hour work day. They want something different in their lives than what their parents had.


© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

English Language Education in Japan

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/opinion/2020/01/21/commentary/japan-commentary/japan-going-wrong-way-english-education-reform/#.XiiLck9Ki70

English language education certainly can be a controversial topic in Japan. There are some who say English education should only be included in university education, and should be an elective only. The author talks about the importance of reading and writing. I see no problem there, but where does listening and speaking fit in? There is no easy answer. Starting English education at in elementary school? I guess can be positives and negatives to that.

I know in Korea, English language education can become an obsession. And worse can be and is used as a gateway for the more rich and influential, as they can afford to send their children to hagwons, academies, up to midnight on even school nights.  Elementary school children in Korea, some, are exposed to this behavior as parents, moms, with do everything they can, to make sure their children can get ahead in an ultra-competitive society.

I hope Japan, if not there already, doesn't turn into another Korea, with its super obsession with getting ahead and sending elementary school children to after school academies just to get ahead in the English obsession race.

If it is done properly, in any level, there should be no need for after school academies. But in Korea, it has become a major industry and there are those who feel they have to attend every academy, every day every night just to get ahead in a too competitive society.

The hagwon or academy industry in Korea is not just English education. There are academies for everything related to education and beyond in Korea. But the focus is education, and even worse or can be worse, is the focus on the one time, once a year test for high school seniors nationwide entrance test to get into a good university.

There are four or five universities that all, or many are trying to get into and they will, many, go to the academy until midnight, every night, for a year to make sure they can get that all important score to get them into on of the four or five top universities.

English education obsession is no different. I hope Japan doesn't fall into, it not already, the English obsession of Korea.

It doesn't have to be that way.

But back to the main article. There is a lot of research that shows, that reading can improve English conversation skills. But at some point speaking should be done. But reading is a very good foundation for improved speaking skills. Research has shown it.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

More Bank of Japan News

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/exclusive-receding-risks-may-boj-104908410.html

The Bank of Japan, as in other and previous articles has stated that if the global economy continues to show improvement over the next year, there might be signs, language, that indicate they might be willing to tweak the present policy of negative interest rates, which stand at -0.1%.

Others have stated that if the change is too soon it could undermine or backfire. Central Banks are always cautious about change. They are even more cautious about how they signal, language, any change, because any signal, if taken wrong by the stock markets, regular banks, investors, companies, and even regular consumers can turn negative quickly, so Central Banks will usually never say anything until they are sure what they are going to do.

Kuroda, the Bank of Japan governor, is a very cautious governor, as most in charge of a Central Banks are. He has used or tried to use the negative interest rate to stimulate inflation, stimulate companies to increase salaries of employees in a "use it or lose it" incentive approach. In other words, get companies who are sitting on tons of money in the banks to invest in their employee salaries, who then as anyone anywhere, once they feel better about their salaries, will then spend more in the economy to boost consumer spending, which is always a concern in the Japanese economy.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Monday, January 20, 2020

More Bank of Japan and Stock Market News:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bank-of-japan-holds-interest-rates-in-negative-territory-and-stocks-fall-on-news-2020-01-20?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo

Stock markets always seem to be react to anything that is happening at the current moment. Investors are moody. They react to everything and anything that is happening. Because the global economy is so interconnected now days, what happens in Frankfurt Germany and the EU, for example, then moves on and affects stock markets around the world.

The same with any news that comes out of New York, such as the US jobs report, which comes out every 1st Friday of every month. If its better than expected, you can see stock markets in many countries increase. If its negative, you can see many stock markets react negatives.

The news out of China and the new flu virus, is no exception, as human behavior and money reacts to all situations, either positively or negatively.

© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Japanese Society?

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-asia-51132384/paternity-leave-why-taking-japan-is-talking-about-shinjiro-koizumi


Koizumi maybe has more chances to take paternity leave than a regular company employee. Yes, Japan has one of the most liberal paternity leave policies/laws in the world, but just like other holidays or vacation time, most workers are afraid to use it, for fear of their career being sidetracked, or left behind.

In a country, Japan, that is trying to figure out the concept of work/life balance it is going through some growing pains now in just how to do it correctly. As in any country, young employees, workers. are not willing to work the long hours of their parents. They want a different lifestyle.

But change comes slow in Japan, or used to. Maybe because Koizumi is an influential politician, maybe he can lead to change or begin the discussion on how employees in Japan can have a more favorable work/life balance.

Time will tell how long it takes for Japan to move toward a more favorable work/life balance.


 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Convenience Store Sales Increase:

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200121/p2g/00m/0bu/016000c

TOKYO (Kyodo) -- Convenience store sales in Japan rose 0.4 percent to a record level last year, as the government's measures to spur consumer spending helped offset the impact of a consumption tax hike, an industry body said Monday.
 
Sales on a same-store basis increased for the second straight year to 10.34 trillion yen ($93.84 billion) in 2019, topping 10 trillion yen for the first time since comparable information became available in 2005, the Japan Franchise Association said.

Sales were lifted by the government's shopping reward point program for purchases made through cashless payments, which was introduced to mitigate the impact from the consumption tax increase to 10 percent from 8 percent in October, according to the association.

The rebate rates are 5 percent at small and medium-sized stores and 2 percent at major chain stores such as convenience stores. Cooked and frozen food items were among products that contributed to the all-time-high sales.

Still, the outlook for convenience store sales remains uncertain as the current government program will end in June and major convenience store operators such as Seven-Eleven Japan Co. and Lawson Inc. are shortening operating hours through such steps as ending 24-hour operations at some outlets due to a labor shortage.

In 2019, average spending per customer on a same-store basis rose 2.1 percent from the previous year to 632.6 yen, while customer visits fell 1.6 percent to 16.35 billion.

The number of stores totaled 55,620 as of the end of 2019, down 0.2 percent from a year earlier, the industrial body said. It was the first fall since the association started compiling data, reflecting convenience store operators' efforts to curb new store openings to avoid their profitability from being squeezed in the saturated market.

Total sales including those at newly opened stores during the year grew 1.7 percent to 11.16 trillion yen.

In December alone, the same-store sales fell 0.3 percent to 915.57 billion yen, with the monthly number of customers slipping 1.1 percent to 1.39 billion. The average spending per customer rose 0.7 percent to 659.2 yen.
 
Commentary:
 
Anticipating the consumption sales tax hike, the government instituted some measures to maybe offset consumer worries.  Store sales increase o.4 percent, supposedly a new record. The govt. instituted  a shopping point program of purchases made through cashless payments. That is good, but what about those who still want to use cash, as there is usually a significant number who do.
 
The so-called rebate rates of 5 percent for small and medium sized stores, I think is/was a very good strategy, and 2 percent for major chain stores such as convenience stores, was a good strategy too.
 
The article mentions cooked and frozen foods that contributed to the all-time-high sales. I think, in some respects those items are always or seem to be very popular now, in a society that is valuing convenience for food than actual food to cook at home.
 
Whenever I visit or see convenience stores in Japan, frozen foods or even bento type foods are everywhere in the stores.
 
For example at Yokohama station, there is small supermarket, near Sony Plaza, that seems to have rows upon rows or shelves of frozen food and bento type food. I am amazed at the number of each that is being sold and bought at this store, and as I visit other stores including convenience of conbini type stores I see the same thing.
 
So yes maybe the govt. incentives did help but I think the trend is what I see. Workers/consumers don't want to really cook too much after a hard day at work. They want something convenient to buy on their way home.
 
At the same time, as the article suggests, all is not positive for convenience stores.  The incentive programs will end in June. But as the previous sentence above, I think consumers/workers will continue to buy and purchase the above items.
 
But still the number of stores is beginning to decline. This could be just a normal change in the market and or it could be related to the labor shortage challenge and or franchise owners leaving the market to potential franchise owners unwilling to open a franchise due to lack of flexibility of companies to help existing and potential franchise owners.

© 2020, Tom Metts, all rights reserved

Japanese Stock Market Success?

https://the-japan-news.com/news/article/0006300906

As has been seen in other stock markets around the world, like in the US, a country's stock market, these days, doesn't seem to reflect what is really happening in the overall economy or society. There seems a real disconnect from the success of a stock market and the realities of the real world economy or society. Maybe this have been going on since the beginning of time, or more importantly since stock markets have become a so-called economic indicator. Stock markets seem to thrive on potential future success, while the real economic thrives on the current moment in time. Those involved in the stock market, maybe have the luxury of the future, while the rest of the economy lives in the here and now. Of course the stock market is very much in the here and now, with profits and losses on a daily basis. But the point is, most in society don't  bother with the stock market, as they are just trying to survive and get through another day.

The stock market, in many countries, maybe is a good example of the hollowing out of the middle class, even in Japan. While stock markets increase in many countries, the middle class, even in Japan, is feeling pressure to survive. Such as little or only slight increases in wages, jobs that maybe are not as beneficial to a family as before etc.

 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved


Economic Growth and Stimulus?

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200120/p2g/00m/0bu/074000c

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy

https://mainichi.jp/english/articles/20200121/p2g/00m/0bu/058000c


https://the-japan-news.com/news/article/0006302615

The Bank of Japan has decided not to change is easy money policy. The Bank of Japan has been for years attempting to increase inflation, which has been somewhat low for a very long time.

Inflation, the overall increase in prices, in a economy, can be seen as both a positive and a negative. In a positive way, it might indicate an increase in overall demand in an economy, meaning more money is moving through the economy. Economies need a certain flow of money, moving at a certain rate to be healthy. While on the negatives side, sometimes depending on the what part of the economy or society is affecting, a too much increase in prices could have a negatives effect.

The idea of the 10% sales tax in October could be seen as an artificial stimulus to get more money moving through the economy, not likely, or a negative stimulus, most likely, in the short term, until consumers get used to the higher prices from the tax increase, and could actually reduce the flow of money in the economy.

However someone looks at it inflation has been, on the surface, a challenge for the Japanese economy. Or is it really? Can it be just the new or ongoing new normal for an economy that becoming more aged every year, where age societies tend to spend less.

But recent research has show, the 20 to 65 age groups in Japan, on par, spend as much or more, with same ages groups as those in the OECD. But because the aged groups are increasing faster more than any other society, except maybe Korea,  having a more pronounced affect on the overall consumer spending behavior or the economy, and as such maybe having an affect on overall prices.

But because the low inflation has been a challenge or been around for a considerable time, maybe, if we throw out normal economic theory thinking, has/is not such problem if the economy continues to grow.

A 0.9% growth, while not what everyone wants is still economic growth. And if we look at the different regions, the major metropolitan regions are probably growing at a much faster rate. The challenge is of course those regions where the aged groups are, such as in the rural areas.

 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Sunday, January 19, 2020

Japanese Convenience Stores

http://www.bbc.com/travel/story/20190610-the-unique-culture-of-japanese-convenience-stores

Having traveled to Japan for over 20 years, usually two or three times a year, but in 2019 four trips to Japan, mostly the Yokohama area, I am still fascinated by Japanese convenience stores, and their impact on society. What more can be said, than what the article already talks about. Although I wouldn't really do it, I would have no problem buying my food only from a conbini or convenience store if I live and worked in Japan, and was always very busy. You can get almost anything at the conbini, including paying your bills, picking up items bought online from places like Amazon Japan and Rakuten, and I assume, many other places too.

The only area, which I have mentioned in other blog posts, is conbinis seem to use a lot of international students, as maybe time, wages, kind of work, is not appealing to Japanese students, so conbinis rely on foreign international students. Also in another blog I might have mentioned the challenge finding workers for the midnight to 6 or 7AM shift as the case in Osaka and 7/11 store.

But overall, the Japanese model for convenience stores seems to be a success, at least for now. But as with any business, change is always inevitable or the need to change to keep up with the competition and or society and consumer tastes and needs.


 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Japanese Cleanliness

http://www.bbc.com/travel/story/20191006-what-japan-can-teach-us-about-cleanliness

Having traveled to Japan over the last twenty years, usually two or three times a year, but in 2019 four times, July, Sept., Oct. and Dec., the cleanliness of the country is second to none. I have seen other countries, and well, there is no comparison, with what I see in Japan.

Yes I see the odd/occasional cigarette on the street, but I usually never see people smoking on the street and almost never see trash anywhere, except in some really old parts of a city.

Some might say its too much, or too strict, or too many rules related to society, but I would venture to say, it works in Japan, because its Japan. Maybe other countries or societies need, or think they need more freedom etc., too much stress from everyday life, so why worry about a little trash on the ground. Well, it seems in Japan, the little things like trash on the ground, is a major detriment to society and reflects on the mindset of Japanese society overall.

As stated in the article, maybe for Japan, cleanliness is Godliness, or being close to God, maybe is a better way to say it.


 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Japanese Politeness

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200114-why-japan-is-so-successful-at-returning-lost-property

As with the two articles above, and having traveled to Japan a lot, I can easily see how the Japanese are polite when it comes to returning something that they find and is not their property. As stated in the article umbrellas seem to be the exception, for whatever reason. Staying at a specific hotel and when it rains, the hotel chain always provides umbrellas, with no charge, to be used and of course brought back to the hotel when you return.

Is everyone polite in Japan, if we want to explore a little more beyond returning lost property? Of course not, people are people, and people get stressed, over worked, tired, busy etc..  But for the most part what I've seen is a very polite society.

If we further look at politeness, as an example, walking through Yokohama station, the 5th busiest train/subway station in the world, where is very crowded, getting bumped into would not be out of the ordinary, I have very rarely ever been bumped into either on purpose or by accident, because people are busy and in a hurry, like anywhere in the world. As simple sumimasen, or excuse me, can sometimes be heard when it does happen.

Even when I go to Sogo department store, which is a major tenant of the Yokohama station complex, which has thousands of stores, it can get extremely busy and again its inevitable that you might get bumped into at the department store, but it rarely happens.

People seem to have a "with-it-ness" meaning they are aware of those around them, and make sure to be polite or at least not cause problems for others even in very crowded department store or subway/train station.

Perhaps, if possible, other societies and cultures maybe could learn a little about the politeness of Japanese society, just as Japanese society can always learn from other societies and cultures too.

A learning and taking what is good in every society and culture for the good for everyone.

 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Tuesday, January 14, 2020

Peter Drucker, Customers, and Japan

Peter Drucker, the longtime management thinker, and who was/is extremely popular in Japan, even had a manga, comic, about his management thinking, and a baseball team and student manager written, has stated, "There is only one valid definition of business purpose: to create a customer." Drucker analyzed six major ideas of what he called the marketing concept: 1. consumer sovereignty, 2 consumer rationality, 3. the utility function, 4. the distinction between sales and marketing, 5. the systems approach, 6. the demand factor.

How do all of these play out with and in Japan business? Japan, for the most part, seemed to embrace Drucker's ideas more than US business. Drucker essentially became star in Japan, while not so much in the US.

A brief review of each of these ideas; And relate them to Japan business and consumers:

1 Consumer Sovereignty: Give priority to the customer.

 Drucker claims he came up with the idea of what he saw in Misui, the sixteenth-century retailer.
Basically Drucker states that no business has control of the consumer, because the consumer can buy or not buy, it is their decision not the companies.

Just go almost anywhere in Japan and you can see this idea in full display in the type of products and services in Japan. One can do a case study, for example, on the Japanese convenience stores and how they have transformed themselves into customer oriented almost full service type places for busy consumers to visit for their daily needs.


2.Consumer Rationality: The customer know what he/she wants.

 Drucker, with this idea, states that too many companies think they know more about what consumer's needs or wants than what consumers think they need or what or even more what is real value. He goes on the state companies make a big mistake in not realizing consumer know more about what is value to them than companies do. He goes on to say companies should interview customers to find out how they define value, whether in a product or a service.

In Japan, its seems companies place great emphasis on creating products and services that consumers value. One can also do a case study on customer service in Japan, a customer service that creates value of the customer. In Japan, or so it seems, the customer is still king, and as such Japanese companies make sure consumers know they are valued.

3.The Utility Function: The product should have value.

According to Drucker products are just worthless commodities until they are perceived has having value or utility for a customer.  He goes on the say perceptions of the producer and consumer vary substantively. "A customer never buys a product, he or she, buys satisfaction." What matters is not what the producer puts in but what the customer gets out of the product or service, Drucker states. In other words, what the customer feels is the value he or she receives from the product or service.

Again, this can easily be seen in Japan business. Products and services seemed to be designed in such as way as to provide customer value and provide customers with the best quality products and services as possible. Products seemed to be designed in mind of the customer for the use and benefit of the customer and not necessarily for the benefit of the company that produced the product. Even to the point of practicality in terms of how to use a product, it seems Japanese companies go out of their way to make sure the products are consumer friendly.

4.The Distinction Between Sales and Marketing: Everything in a company should be about marketing.

The marketing concept, according to Drucker, emphasizes producing what the market needs.  He goes on the state, that if marketing is done correctly, then selling would become less needed or less important than it is. The purpose of marketing is to make selling almost un-needed.  The goal of marketing is to know and understand the customer so well that the product or service fits the customer and the product sells itself.

Again Japanese business seem to have zeroed in on this concept in a remarkable way. They see a company is a marketing company, not so much a sales company. Provide the products and services needed, with the correct marketing and the products can sell themselves.

But at the same time, Japanese companies still see the need for quality customer service and not just sales. Quality customer service is a major component of business in Japan, and it should never be overlooked to just selling a product.

Drucker goes on to say, he is less enthusiastic with how technology has transformed, not in a good way selling and customer service, for example in retail stores. He states that quality customer service is still an important component. And Japan seems to have still embraced quality customer service despite improvement or changes in technology.


5. The Systems Approach: Marketing should be center in a company.

Basically, what Drucker is trying to say here, is that marketing should be the main component of any business and not just a separate function. Drucker preferred a holistic approach for an enterprise in that marketing was the main component of every department in a company, with the idea, the customer is only thing that matters to a company. He further suggest there are only two things in a company: costs and customers.

For example, while a while ago, Drucker states that companies should find their core concept and how it relates to companies. He gives he example of Sony's focus on a concerted concentration on the miniaturization of its product line. Build our core concept along a marketing line that brings value to the customer.


6. The Demand Factor: Create demand among non-customers

According to Drucker's version of economic theory, a market is created by demand. He goes on to say that most businesses miss the most important idea of demand. He says most companies focus on the customers they have, but they fail to recognize, the huge potential non-customers that are not par of their customer base. In other words, find out why this large non-customer base is not buying your products instead of focusing only on your present customers.

Again I think Japan has been able to bridge that gap between its present customers and potential customers. The creation of new products and services is always important to any company, but probably even more, or even more so in Japan, is quality customer service. Customers and word of mouth, or Line or Twitter, or even old-fashioned email, is still a viable option, whether good or bad, for the spread of information and opinions. Any company that thinks quality customer service is not important faces the backlash of customers venting their feeling across the any media now days. Even if a company has quality products but poor customer service in Japan, is even more at risk losing customer demand.

Conclusion:

Peter Drucker, while a management thinker, has put marketing has the key component for any company in any industry. Marketing and the customer should be the number one focus of any company. We see this in Japan, maybe more so than any economy around the world, as his ideas and concepts were adapted more readily than in any other country.

Reference: John E. Flaherty (1999).Peter Drucker: Shaping the managerial mind. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved







Friday, January 10, 2020

How About in Japan?

http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2020/01/11/2020011100383.html

Automation and the need or desire to reduce costs seems now to to be fact of life in business and society. Unfortunately, it has some negatives as seen in this article. Japan still is about human personal experience, at least I hope so. There is of course places like Uniqlo and GU in Japan going to self check areas but I hope McDonalds, Mos Burger, and others don't go the way of automation. The same with coffee shops and cards or smartphone purchases only., and not go the way of no cash. I hope Japan remains a consumer friendly, customer oriented society and economy. Yes there are some cheap restaurants that have gone to automation but easy to use machines to order food such as ramen. But hopefully Japan understands that personal customer service, even in retail fast food shops and coffee shops, is still important for a relationship between customer and the stores that customers visit. I fear or think, automation can go too far in reducing cost, as the human element in an economy or society is still very important.

 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Thursday, January 9, 2020

Housing Prices in Seoul and Tokyo?

http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2020/01/10/2020011001878.html

In normal supply and demand, usually when there is a surplus, there is usually a move to a reduction in prices. There seems to be a housing surplus in the Seoul area, but prices are not coming down, or not a significant decrease in price.

Part of that might be because there are two groups of consumers in the housing market; regular families who want to buy a new  and investors/speculators. The investors/speculators seem to have a more significant affect on the housing market than the families. As such prices have remained high for sometime.

The government over many years has tried to calm the overheated housing market, but so far with no success. Even to the point of limiting investors to the number of homes they could purchase.

Also, for many years the government subsidized construction of new housing projects as a stimulus for the economy, as housing and construction are both significant factors in economic growth


But what about in Japan? It seems, from news reports, there is a surplus of homes that are not being used. So would we call this a housing surplus too? I would think that the used homes, most likely are in the rural areas and not so much in the major metropolitan areas where most people want to live.



© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Japense Baseball and Sports

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200109-the-unique-world-of-japanese-baseball

One interesting fact in this short video about Japanese baseball is that Keio University has 150 team members. Of course most baseball teams only have about 25 players who sit in a baseball dugout.


 Of course if you watch the high school Summer Koshien, the national high school baseball tournament, you see a large group of high boys in their baseball uniforms in the stands at the Koshien stadium in Nishinomiya City in Hyogo in the Osaka/Kobe metropolitan area.


 Its interesting there are also large teams such for the running or ekiden teams which might have over 50 team members. There have been some articles written, especially about the more successful teams, about what is the personal cost regarding other factors in a young person's life who are part of these teams. Maybe not so much in university baseball, but how many of the players actually go on the play university baseball, pro baseball, one of the semi pro or company or industrial teams.

 If a person/athlete, knows his chances are not good for moving up, but he wants to just be part of the team, to just try and practice etc., then he might have a better future than one who lives and dies for baseball and moving up. What percent actually move up the ranks? Out of those 150 how many will actually play in one game, or real game?


 Again if its just about wanting to be part of the team and practice, then he probably is not so burdened by the stress of moving to the next level as opposed to the 25 or so who make to the dugout for a real game but never move up to the next level.

 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

In Japan Too?

https://www.bbc.com/worklife/article/20200108-the-young-koreans-pushing-back-on-a-culture-of-endurance

How might this also be a challenge in Japan with Japan's millennial generation? Are they feeling the same kind of stress and challenges that the Korean millennial generation is? Is it possible that this is a global challenge and not just a one country challenge. Much has been written about Japan's young people and their challenges.
For example Japan, as has been written a lot is experiencing a labor shortage. Some reports have suggest there are almost 2 jobs available for Japan university graduates. But one might ask what kind of jobs are they? Are they the type of jobs university graduates can feel good about for their future, and or how many graduates decide to continue to live at home it not in a company dormitory. Whenever I go to a conbini in Japan, I mostly see foreign students working there. This could be because Japanese students have many options for a part time job, the pay at conbinis is not what they like or want, and or the working hours are not what like they like or want. On a side note, conbinis or convenience store now have challenges with the traditional 24/7 hours of operation because of a shortage of labor, as was the case with an Osaka 7/11 franchisee who had to close his store on occasion because he couldn't find anyone to work the late shift.
In the article it mentions the idea of long work hours. Japan has had it share of news about long work hours too. Are young people in Japan and Korea, accept the idea of a 60+ work week, a 70+ work week as normal in the 21st century? Or is it time to work smarter not necessarily harder and or work the 60+ hours just to work the 60+ just because of tradition. The answers are not easy and the implementation of different ways of doing things are sometimes not easy to accomplish, but some are trying to change the less than new ways of work and society in both countries.


 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Japan Consumer Confidence

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/japan-households-mood-hits-five-065144658.

This is certainly not what I saw in Sept, Oct. and Dec. when I traveled to Yokohama, where it seemed there was a lot of consumer activity going on around Yokohama, especially around Yokohama station, eki. Of course Yokohama station is the 5th busiest train/subway station in the world. The first four are also in Japan. Perhaps the major metropolitan areas are not seeing major changes in consumer spending while the rural might be spending less, which is common if the rural areas are mainly senior citizens. Consumer spending, and consumer mood, the feelings of consumers, has been a major concern for the Japanese govt. and the Bank of Japan. As the Japanese society ages, as older citizens tend to spend less, overall consumer spending might become even a greater concern. But just a very basic comparison, even with the 10% sales tax, prices in Japan are much lower than prices in South Korea. It has been estimated that food prices, as one example in Seoul, are the 6th highest in the world. The five above Seoul are all in the EU, mainly in Switzerland. Whenever I travel to Japan, usually the Yokohama area, I can see significant differences in food prices, especially at restaurants.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Wednesday, January 8, 2020

Hakone Ekiden

Every year, the past 10 years or so, I have watched the Hakone ekiden on Japanese TV on my laptop computer or tablet. Being a runner, not so much a marathon runner anymore, but still a runner, as I still run everyday I am very much interested in running in Japan.

 Being a former running coach with 15+ years of experience at the middle school, high school, and university, I am amazed at the level of dedication and enthusiasm for running in Japan. It has been said, the viewership of the Hakone ekiden is larger that the US super bowl.  I know marathon running and running in general is big in Japan. Every time I visit Yokohama, for over 20 years now, I am amazed, almost any time of the day, you will see people out running, whether for health/fitness or for marathon training.

 Whenever I run in around the Minatormirai area or the Yokohama Yamashita park, koen, I see more runners in one morning/day than I see all year in my area around where I live in Incheon South Korea. Yes there are areas in Korea/Seoul etc. where there are a lot of runners and walkers but not so much my area.  Japan, it seems is truly an running country.

 Of course I have a knowledge of most of the famous marathon runners in Japan from the past. I often visit several sports stores in Yokohama when I visit, just to look and maybe buy some good running shoes. At one shop one time, they remembered me as the gaijin who likes to buy a lot of good running shoes. Of course I always look for good running shoes on sale.

 In Korea, for example, the prices seem to be too high, so I always buy running shoes in Japan. One day, maybe I will be able to watch the Hakone ekiden, maybe at the Yokohama ekiden area live instead of on TV only.


I've watched many You tube videos about the latest Hakone and on Japanese TV, to improve my Japanese listening skills. I am especially happy, whenever, after some Hakone runners finish, they show good sportsmanship to the other Hakone runners who just finished before or after them. Such as the Aoyoma Gukuin University captain, on the third leg, who showed good sportsmanship to the Kenyan runner who just finished before him and a Hakone runner who just finished behind him.

 To me that is/was just as important, of not more than winning. And then the last leg, 10th leg, the Soka University runner, an up and coming team moving from 11th to 9th place in the standings, was a major highlight of the Hakone race. An up and coming team moving into the top ten for the very first time, and the effort, a course record, was truly the most exciting part of the entire Hakone race. Of course Aoyoma Gakuin winning again was exciting as was all the teams who always give their best effort in no matter what place they finish.


A common Japanese saying; fall down seven times get up eight can apply to all the teams who didn't win. Ganbatte to all the teams in the future. And the other 32 or so teams, who didn't make it to Hakone this year.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved


Source: For the information related to my ideas: http://japanrunningnews.blogspot.com/

Monday, January 6, 2020

Japanese Supermarkets and Food

Whenever I go to Japan, I can't help but stop by or even buy something from a Japanese supermarket, or スーバー。Actually the same goes for convenience stores 、コンビニ, such as Mini Stop, Lawson, 7-11, or Family Mart. The selection is unreal. I always like to go to a supermarket in the Yokohama eki, station, area, just to look at the selection, especially the bento type foods that are available. If I lived and worked in Japan, for example Yokohama, I would probably not cook very much as going to the supermarket or even the conbini, would be enough to provide healthy meals each day. Japan, it seems has created a way for those who are busy, tired, or don't want to cook to find alternatives for lunch and dinner. Even when I go to the Sogo department store in Yokohama station, there is a huge area for takeout bento type food. One time, I and my partner, bought a little too much as our eyes were bigger than our stomachs. She and I both commented, while the food was very good, we had to be careful of buying too much because everything looked very good. Not say anything negative, but I don't experience the same food culture or takeout food culture in Korea yet, that is available in Japan. It is improving but its a long way off. Japan has high quality bento or takeout food that is second to none. Another example of quality and customer service in Japan, that is second to none.

To be fair, Korean has a second to non delivery service culture. You can get almost anything delivered very quickly in Korea including and especially food.  Its just the take out or bento type service or food you find in Japan is still not developed yet in Korea, but hopefully it will improve in the future. Even going to convenience store in Korea, and looking for onigiri or a bento is not exactly the same. The quality, for the most part is not there yet. But hopefully it will improve.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

JAL, Haneda, and Service

Whenever I fly to Japan, from Seoul Gimpo to Tokyo Haneda recently I tend to use JAL, Japan Airlines, as I seem to get a decent price, for whatever reason. I have used ANA also, for the most part to Haneda, as both airlines seem to have flight at the times I like. KAL and Asiana, in Korea are excellent, but buying a ticket, in the home country's airline is more expensive. Even those in Japan say the same thing about buying a JAL ticket in Japan etc.  I did fly on KAL recently to Haneda and the service was excellent, very good. But for me, for whatever reason, I seem to like JAL or ANA for their service. Not to put JAL or ANA above KAL or Asiana in any way, but I guess I like the unique service they provide. I always look forward to the bento lunches that they serve. A few years ago, it seemed JAL was providing some very unique lunch bentos, that seemed to be of high quality. They seemed to have stopped the service recently and now just a regular bento, but still very good, or so it seems. But, maybe too much to ask, but there is a famous Japanese bento company, that a lot of Japanese customers, office workers or those taking the shinkansen, seem to buy. The company colors are orange and black, I think. There is a small outlet at Yokohama eki, station, that is always busy with customers. It might be interesting if JAL could provide those bentos on their flights.  At the same time, on a flight from Haneda terminal 1 to Fukuoka on JAL, the service only provided complimentary drinks. It was not a problem, but very interesting. Whenever I take JAL or ANA, I make it a point to try and speak Japanese only. And when I do, the flight attendants then talk to me in Japanese only. The same when I'm on KAL or Asiana, I try to speak Korean only, and they talk to me in Korean. But back to JAL and the customer service. For whatever reason, the service on JAL and ANA is always excellent, as should be expected from a customer's point of view but also the unique Japanese style of quality customer service whenever you are in situation related to Japan. Japanese customer service, even on JAL and ANA, just like in Sogo department store, is world-class and is second to none, or so it seems.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Tokyo: New Hotels?

While normal supply and demand may indicate when there is a shortage of a products or service, usually that means higher prices. Then add in an unusual high demand for a product or service the prices might get even higher, such as the Tokyo 2020 Olympic situation, where it is estimated there might be a 14,000 room shortage during the Olympic period. Tokyo has commented they will build more luxury hotels, to try and overcome the shortage. Prices, it appears, seem to be already out of control. How many tourists or Olympic fans can really afford super high prices for a hotel for a week or even less? What about the need for medium and even more business type hotels instead of luxury hotels to cover the Olympic shortage? As far as what is going to happen after the Olympics is another problem. How many of the new hotels, especially if they are so-called luxury hotels, will able to maintain an occupancy rate that can equate to profitability?  This is a situation that should have been looked at many years ago instead of just the past year. Bringing in luxury cruise ships might lesson the problems slightly, but the problem might still be about price. Again, sometimes organizers seem to think all fans or tourists are rich, or they hope they are. The majority of tourists or fans are not the rich global jet setters, but ordinary tourists who hope to see a little of the Olympics and also experience Japan at the same time. Tokyo needs to figure out to meet the needs of the ordinary tourists and not just the global jet setters, who probably are already set up in luxury hotel situations.



© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Sunday, January 5, 2020

Japan/US Trade Pact

While the Japan/US trade agreement is an improvement, with the possibility of consumers able to buy some products at lower prices, it still comes down to consumer choice on many products. For example, no amount of lowered tariffs/taxes is going to change consumer opinions on US cars being sold in Japan. If US car manufacturers haven't figured that out yet, they might be wasting their time trying to sell cars in a market that doesn't want those cars. Of course rice was not in the new agreement, as was expected. Rice, agriculture, has always been a sticking point in any trade agreement, in most countries as the farm sector is highly protected. Japanese consumers might not be too concerned with high rice prices, as some might not be too concerned with high sushi prices, as the quality of the product is very important in Japan. Flooding the market with lower quality products, whether cars, rice, other products is not going to change consumer behavior in a country that values quality products.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Saturday, January 4, 2020

Online vs Personalized Customer Service

Japan is known for its unique type of customer service that is known globally as probably considered the best customer service around the world. Unfortunately, maybe even Japan will eventually begin to have more and more online customer service. It is hoped that the online service in Japan, will be as good as regular customer service that is seen in stores and shops all over Japan. However, it probably is not realistic to expect the same personalized feeling, that customers can receive from online customer service. Maybe that's a given. But the need or the balance for both online customer service  and the unique Japanese personalized service should be continued as part of Japanese business and culture. It would be less that good if Japan goes completely online with all business services and not have the personalized service that has been so unique in Japan. There will always be the need for quality customer service as brick and mortar businesses are still  very important for any society and economy.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Japan Consumer Spending; Cards and Smartphones

Japan, it appears, is still a cash society, as evidenced by observations of consumers using cash at coffee shops and other places. Cards and smartphones for payments is increasing in Japan but its not like in Korea, where, it seems most consumers still use their smartphones to pay for coffee at coffee shops and other places. I for one, still think cash is a good thing, as not everyone uses their smartphone to pay for products, as cards and cash should still be a part or a balanced mix of an economy. But no doubt the use of smartphones for payments is increasing globally, and the same will happen in Japan too in the future. Cash and cards should always be a choice among consumers if needed.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved

Latest Japan Trip

The latest Japan trip to Yokohama, during the XMAS holidays, still showed there appeared to be a  lot of economic activity. Especially on Dec. 24, Christmas eve, as it seemed many workers had left early for the XMAS eve activities. Christmas is not a national holiday in Japan. But that doesn't seem to stop consumers from spending on unique Japanese XMAS traditions, such as the purchasing of fried or roasted chicken, even KFC, which seems to have become a XMAS tradition. Many stores and places seemed to be full or busy on XMAS eve in Yokohama. The sales tax increase back on Oct. 1 doesn't seem to have lessened consumer spending and or consumers like in 2014, have now gotten used to or accepted the idea of some higher prices related to the sales tax increase. The next day, Christmas day, there seemed to be less consumers out spending, as it was a regular work day in Japan.


© 2020 Tom Metts,  all rights reserved