Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Japan Trade and Trump Tariffs: Updated June 27, 2025.

Japan records trade deficit as exports suffer from Trump's tariffs


Ideas

There are always going to be shifts up or down in exports and imports but yes, the tariff situation can make the ups and downs more exaggerated over time.

But a 1.7% drop is not really that bad as it could have been worse, but yes, for a company that had a sales drop it is not so good too.

The 7.7% drop in imports might be related to the continued inflation situation in Japan and Japanese consumers are just cutting back on what they buy.

The Japanese economy is not used to trade deficits as its depends heavily on exports to keep its economy growing as the domestic economy is not that strong.

Japan needs to just keep negotiating as much as possible and overtime, the present US admin. might become distracted with other situations and eventually just give in and move on to something else.

Even though the US might be Japan's largest trade partner, and they key word is used to be a trade partner, Japan as much as possible should try to diversify its trade situation.

Of course China is/was a key trade partner but China as fallen aside ever since the pandemic and or ever since it began to have internal economic challenges and hasn't been the same since.

Someone in the US administration either doesn't care about international trade or comparative advantage or absolute advantage or is ignoring 50 plus years of how the world trade order has worked.

Yes, related to some products here or there and between different countries trade is never perfect and never will be and some situations might favor one country or another but that is the world trade system today, and is worked fairly well for a very long time.

Additional tariffs are not only going to hurt the export trade country and its companies but also hurt US consumers and those companies in the US that sell Japanese products such as Japanese cars and or Japanese auto parts.

For the most part, in today's global world, companies don't have a lot of loyalty to a specific country, even though they might verbally say we are Japanese etc.

So, it's not a surprise that Toyota and Honda might build more car factories in the US, as they are doing it not for the good of the US but for the good of Toyota and the good of Honda as it might make sense financially to manufacture cars in the US over Japan.

Toyota and Honda producers a lot of cars in Japan, in the Japanese domestic economy and to build new factories might have been on their agenda even before the tariff situation came about.

The tariff situation probably just prompted both companies to move up their plans to build more factories in the US or produce more in the US as shipping and logistics costs can be reduced which helps both companies.

Have a nice day!

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